The ‘3 C’s and E’ method of selecting the best employees.

The ‘3 C’s and E’ method of selecting the best employees.

 

 

Lifelong employment is a thing of the past, casualisation, remote work, and the gig economy have consigned that idea to the dustbin of history.

It seems to me that there should be a revision to the way we seek to employ people, on whatever basis that employment occurs.

When recruiting for my clients as I do from time to time, I use a checklist that has a number of elements not usually obvious in most recruiting processes I have seen, or indeed been subjected to. The checklist assumes that anyone you are speaking to has the required domain qualifications and experience to in theory, get the job done. After that I look for ‘the 3 C’s and E’

Curiosity. To my mind curiosity is essential to be able to see alternatives and options from outside the domain. A wide span of interests, hobbies, reading, and an apparent ‘let’s just see’ attitude are signposts.

Critical thinking. To be able to subject opinions, data, and so-called facts to a process that strips away the inbuilt bias, self-interest, ‘short- termism’ and just bullshit, to reveal the foundation assumptions and facts. ‘How would you approach……..’ Type questions and resulting conversation surfaces this ability quite quickly, as does asking about times they have failed to reach an objective, and what they learnt as a result.

Collaborative capacity. Collaboration has unfortunately been turned into a cliché. However, the reality is that we are in a knowledge world, and most of the valuable knowledge is elsewhere, so you better figure out a way to get access to it. Generally, those who demonstrate they take responsibility for problems in their area of responsibility, while passing on praise for good work by others will find themselves as a ‘node’ in communication networks, rather than being just a receiver or originator of input. The number and distribution of ‘Nodes’ drives collaborative outcomes.

Education, in its broadest sense. STEM education is vital, from cutting-edge technology to basic trade skills. These technical skills drive productivity. Just as important are the ‘soft skills’, the capacity to see through the eyes of others, engage in constructive debate, and accommodate conflicting ideas in your brain at the same time. Education powers the three ‘C’s above

The recent changes have been profound, and the train has not stopped. One of my concerns for the world my grandchildren will inherit is what we are going to do with those who are displaced by technology? The argument that they will find new jobs created by the changes as has always happened in the past, may not happen as smoothly this time. The chances are in my view, that we will see increased levels of pain and anxiety.

We have an emerging social disruption over the next 20 years we have no idea how to manage, and really are not even considering the challenges in any meaningful way.

Header cartoon courtesy Tom Gauld. Originally published in New Scientist magazine.

The elusive formula for winning and managing government grants.

The elusive formula for winning and managing government grants.

 

There is considerable grant money being allocated to innovative solutions to technical and market challenges by all levels of government. Such a honey-pot attracts all sorts of characters with a whole range of motivations, along with the genuine applicants seeking help. In this environment, panels of disinterested departmental officials and sometimes so called ‘experts’ are called upon to make judgements. As has been demonstrated over the last few years, these judgements are not always followed closely when votes are in play.

Be prepared to acknowledge that there is a whole lot of ‘lottery’ involved. Judgements about your eligibility against a set of guidelines that can be ambiguous, convoluted, and occasionally contradictory, can be an enormously frustrating and time consuming exercise for applicants. In addition, despite what is said, innovation involves risk. No government wants risk, and bureaucrats are conditioned by their culture to be utterly risk averse. The most remote whiff of risk, an indication of potential failure which can be politically weaponised to end careers is abhorrent to project assessors, irrespective of the number of times the word ‘innovation’ appears in the literature and conversation.

Before you ever approach the process of committing the resources to apply for a grant, then managing it should you be successful, you need to understand 3 basic rules:

  1. Any grant funds will come into your P&L at the top line, so will add to profit assuming you make some, or reduce future tax losses. Most programs require cash co-investment, so make sure you discount the potential value of grant funds appropriately before you start.
  2. Notions of Commercial in Confidence, often a central driver of innovators is absolute poison to public authorities, whose whole mind-set is about levelling the playing field. Assertions of Commercial in Confidence, written or verbal are worthless, even when delivered in good faith, as the project proposal usually goes through multiple hands during assessment.
  3. To quote a senior bureaucrat during a conversation with me about the above two considerations: ‘when you get into bed with the government, who do you think is on top?” Recognise that grants come with strings, and managing pro-actively those strings, even when they seem somewhere between irrelevant and absurd, is essential to your ongoing sanity.

Assuming you have come to terms with these three factors and want to continue, following is a check list of what you simply must do, and not do.

Do’s

  • Ensure you have very clear objectives and project path before you set about filling in the forms. Adjusting your project plan, time frames, or objectives in order to meet program guidelines and make your application seem better, is a common and serious mistake. Ensure your project fits their guidelines perfectly, never adjust your project to fit. A bit of nipping and tucking may seem like it will enhance your chances, and it may, but most often it comes back to bite.
  • Clearly understand the objectives of the program. This sounds pretty obvious, and it is usually reasonably clear. However, there are always implicit objectives such as inclusion, equality, job generation, and most importantly re-election prospects that play an often unstated role.
  • Reflect back the words of the stated project objectives in your communications, and add in some that reflect positively on the implicit objectives.
  • Most programs work in rounds driven by dates. While this is often very inconvenient commercially, it better suits the bureaucracies. A project that is rejected in one round might be successful in another less populated by applicants, as the tendency is to break up the program funding into equal parts. So, persist. Ask for and take the advice on why your application failed this round, (‘the money ran out for this round’ will never be one of them, although it will often be the case) and work that advice into your application in the next round.
  • Be prepared to have some well academically qualified person without any relevant experience of your industry, and indeed life outside the bureaucratic bubble, believing they can and should give you strategic and operational advice. You will be well advised to politely acknowledge and follow this advice, at least superficially, if your application is to be favourably reviewed.
  • Always be prepared to report as per the schedules, preferably a day or two before the deadline. Be explicit in your application about the importance you place on these milestones and the attached KPI’s. These milestone reviews will always be a part of the grant contract, embrace them. Set about making auditing your project progress easy for the granting body.
  • When you are not successful with an application, try and find out why, so you can do better next time. This can be a hugely frustrating process, and rarely will you ever know for sure, as those trying to explain it will be paranoid about telling you anything that may be used against them. I once prepared a grant application for a regional manufacturing innovation program for a client, where the guidelines were an absolutely perfect fit. My client was located in a regional town, had two patents on parts of the process he proposed to use, so we appeared to ‘nail’ the innovation requirement, would have generated a number of jobs, and was value adding a waste agricultural product, but we missed out. I spent considerable time and energy trying to understand why, but failed. I ended up receiving a number of 4-page emails that were absolutely incomprehensible, and could not get through on the phone. The ‘official’ up to whom my questions and protestations had been pushed simply stonewalled me. Eventually, as I am sure was the desired departmental outcome, I and my client gave up to invest the time and energy in something useful.
  • Document everything, they will, and you might need to refer back at some point.
  • Ignore the preponderance of verbs and adjectives that will adorn the guidelines and accompanying material. They are simply a manifestation of the bureaucratic instinct to complicate everything, using 3 words when one would suffice.
  • Offer cream biscuits at the very least with the coffee in the unlikely event that they drag themselves out of the Canberra bubble and come to your offices. Lunch is better still, call it relationship building.

 

Don’ts

  • Do not get annoyed by constant insistence that you nominate the electorate and postcode where your project will take place.  Just give them something that serves as press release fodder, irrespective of how accurate it might be. Usually this will be your ‘head office’ even if there is absolutely no relevant activity beyond governance being conducted from that address.
  • Do not ever miss a deadline of any sort. When implementing a project, if it looks likely you might miss one, forewarn them, with the reasons, then, preferably, meet the deadline. The added effort to recover to the deadline will deliver brownie points. Any variation to the terms of a grant agreement are treated differently when they are a surprise, than when they are forewarned. This is really just common sense and courtesy, but I have seen tiny molehills blow up like Vesuvius in their absence. Such misses can motivate an audit. The right to audit will be written into the grant contract, but will probably never happen in the absence of some sort of catalyst that motivates action. When they do audit, they are usually ‘tick and flick’ exercises. However, noncompliance with the reporting schedule, or obvious inconsistencies that emerge from a cursory look can lead to deeper audits that are seeking to find the inevitable breaches of the guidelines and grant contract detail. Responding will be a time consuming, frustrating, and resource hungry exercise. You have things to do to move the project forward, and manage the rest of your business, while they have as an objective, finding out where you have cut a corner, adjusted priorities, or spent in a way that is even marginally inconsistent with the agreement.  Best to avoid that sort of scrutiny by overt compliance.
  • Don’t expect them to be as responsive as you expect. The sense of urgency you feel will have no effect on the pace of progress of your application. Don’t let it frustrate you, too much.
  • Do not counsel them on the challenges faced in filling in their demonic templated application forms. Somebody who may be commenting on your application designed it, thinks it is perfect, and might take such criticism personally. When they are difficult, as they normally are, ask for clarification, pointing out the deficiencies as inhibiting the quality of the information you are giving them, rather than pointing out their idiot template was generated by Satan.
  • Don’t become annoyed at the constant communication required by different people who ask the same questions as the previous incumbent. This is nothing compared to the changes in personnel that will occur during the project implementation. It will often feel like you were put on earth to train a seemingly endless stream of apprentices.
  • Never forget that most grant programs are competitive. Therefore, you are not only seeking to demonstrate to the assessors that your solution to challenges being addressed is worth supporting, but it is more worthwhile than any of the ‘competitive’ applications.
  • Don’t forget that those doing the assessing are just people, trying to do a job in a culture that will be entirely different to yours. Generally they do not set out to frustrate your ambitions, that is just an unintended consequence of the culture they must operate in, so do not overreact.

 

The benefits of grant funding.

  • Obviously, when appropriate, and well executed, the cash. Almost always this is the primary reason a grant is sought. However, it often becomes secondary to the following point.
  • Recognition, networks and the next grant. Governments live and die by the communication they generate, and networks they can leverage. Generally they are pretty good at it, having brought in communication professionals who do know their jobs. (I exclude advertising from this comment. Public servants generally know absolutely nothing about advertising effectiveness, but insist on their right as the client to dictate the ads, which is why there is so many wallpaper ads thrown at us) Once recognised as a compliant, PR friendly grant recipient, the networking opportunities are significant, and often prove to be the best outcome of a grant. Being a recipient, and having that good record of co-operation, gives you a head start the next time, as you are a known quantity, which reduces risk.

I hope that all helps, good luck, you might need it.

Header cartoon credit: Tom Gauld

 

 

 

Bing takes a sniff of (AI enhanced) Columbian marching powder.

Bing takes a sniff of (AI enhanced) Columbian marching powder.

 

Bing and its sibling ‘Edge’ have been coming third in a one-horse race for a long time now. Suddenly the emergence of the AI equivalent of a plutonium battery powered race whip in the form of ChatGPT has delivered a proper kick up the arse.

The world has changed, pivoted on a dime as they say, as a result.

No longer will Google search be the only game in town, and Chrome the default browser housed on 98% of devices. The new race has begun with a wider field, and no doubt some roughies hiding in the wings.

Microsoft announced 2 weeks ago that it has extended OpenAI’s models across their Azure services, widely used by developers, so who knows what might spring out of that.  Last week Microsoft confirmed ChatGPT is being incorporated into Bing and Edge.

Google have the most to lose here, so have scrambled to announce they intend to incorporate their version of OpenAI’s google-killer ‘Bard’ into search making it more ‘ChatGPT like’. It is just a pity the horse stumbled at the first hurdle by failing to answer a simple question, leading to a share price nose-dive into the turf.

This is a must win race for Google, as 80% of their revenue comes from advertising. With hindsight, they have bet the farm on the one horse, never a great strategy in a volatile environment.

It is going to be interesting!!

 

 

 

 

 

The misleading myth of work/life balance.

The misleading myth of work/life balance.

 

The term work/life balance seems to have been taken into our commonly used language. It pops up everywhere there is a discussion about stress, personal development, post covid back to work, and many others.

To me it is a deeply flawed metaphor.

The term ‘Balance’ immediately brings to mind the mental picture of the old-style balance, as in the header.

Our lives are not binary, there is way, way more than just work and life involved. How does family, ambition, community, workplace equality, financial comfort, and a host of other factors we all face come into view and play a role?

Depending on the context in which we think about these things, the weight we put on all these factors will change. Therefore it is more like a complex jigsaw puzzle where the size, shape, relative weight, and manner in which the pieces fit together is a far better description.

I have a friend going through the process of selling his small, successful business to retire and find greater work/life balance. From the time he told me he was going to sell a year ago, to our most recent conversation a few days ago, the shape and relative weight of the pieces in his ‘jigsaw’ have continued to evolve with his changing state of mind.

Selling a business you have worked your arse off to build can be a deeply emotional decision, subject to uncertainty about the way hindsight might score the decision.

As he has progressed through the various stages necessary to ensure he maximises the sale value to him, while keeping faith with his client base, I have observed a wide range of emotions. These have been completely at odds with the initial reason he gave me of finding more work/life balance in semi-retirement, whatever that might look like.

So, do not believe in binary absolutes, ever. They are just put there to appear to simplify complexity, but which inevitably lead to uncertainty and miscalculation.

 

 

 

 

 

 

How will Google respond to the existential threat of AI powered search?

How will Google respond to the existential threat of AI powered search?

 

Never have I seen a more definitive example of Clayton Christianson’s ‘innovators Dilemma’ than what is being played out right now, in front of our eyes.

In summary, the dilemma is that dominating incumbent businesses are loathe to change the model that made them dominating incumbents. This results in them failing to innovate in ways that have potential to erode the cash flow from former successes.

Christianson had many examples in his book originally published in 1997, but none better than the existential crisis being faced by Google from ChatGPT, launched in November 2022.

Googles control of the search market is almost absolute, with a share of well over 90%. When you add in the rebranded search engines that simply use Google under another name, like Apples  Safari, and discount the mistakes that lead to Microsoft’s Bing being clicked, it is probably 97% or above.

Ask Google a question, and the first 5 or 6 responses are ads. They represent potential answers to your question, but just potential from the indexed websites. The revenue from those ads that also follow you around the web is 80% of Googles total revenue, most of the balance coming from ad revenue on YouTube. After scrolling through the ads, you will have to skim and review a number of possible sites that may deliver you the answer you are seeking.

Ask ChatGPT the same question, and you get back one answer. No ads, yet. You may have to become increasingly explicit in the question you ask, but the response time is close to real time, and you get the best answer available. It may not be the perfect answer, although we can expect it to improve, but it will save heaps of time.

Google claim to have a similar system sitting on the shelf. In addition, they made a $400 million investment in an AI start-up called Anthropic in late November, just after Chat was launched. I’m sure they have the capability to deliver an answer to Microsoft, as they have been playing with AI for a long time. Perhaps they did not launch because it is not yet perfect, what new product ever is, but more probably they delayed because it is a threat to the existing revenue of the business.

Since the early days, Google has sat on its mountain of cash and not innovated. They have fiddled at the edges, as shown by their site that keeps tabs on their hits and misses,  killedbygoogle.com but never confronted their cash cow, search, with any sort of  innovation that might eat their breakfast. This is in stark contrast to what Apple has been prepared to do, several times.

Whatever else happens, ChatGPT and its backer Microsoft have taken the initiative, and I suspect this will be the best $10 billion investment Microsoft has made in decades. Incorporating ChatGPT into Bing suddenly gives Bing a reason to exist and a competitive advantage to which many will be attracted.

I can only imagine there are late nights in Sundar Pichai’s  (Alphabet’s CEO) office currently as they try and figure out a way to combat this competitive threat while preserving their river of cash from advertising.

As I wrote this post, Google shares tanked and Microsoft announced a new generation of Bing running the next iteration of ChatGPT, customised for search.

Header: Google meets ChatGPT in the style of Monet in blogs used courtesy Dall-E, ChatGPT’s graphic AI stablemate.

Update No. 1. Feb 10, 3 hours after the original publication. probably the first of many.

I came across this Google post on their own site, via Visual Capitalist. If anything, it absolutely confirms the contention in the above post that Google have badly fumbled the ball. Timing is a much underrated quality in marketing. On several occasions, I have done the right thing at the wrong time, usually well before the market is ready, and failed as a result, only to see a competitor succeed at a later date.