A template for productive meetings.

A template for productive meetings.

There is a lot of useful, standard advice about how to ensure meetings are productive. Have an agenda, a time limit, ensure only those who can contribute to the discussion attend, ensure there is agreement about what next, ensure everyone has the opportunity to speak, and so on. There is one more structural item not usually noted, that I have found to work well.

1/3, 1/3, 1/3.

The agenda is structured into thirds, as is the time allocated.

The first third is addressing the past. You cannot change it, but you must understand it, and absorb any lessons. This part of most discussions is often where the time is consumed, leaving inadequate time for the more important discussions about what next.

The second third is discussion about what is immediately in front of you. Depending on the meeting, this may be a day, week, month, and so on. There are decisions to be taken that impact the immediate future, take them.

The third is a discussion on the longer term items that will impact the group in the meeting. Depending again on the level of the meeting, this can be anything from how to fill a hole in the production team when Jim takes long service leave, to discussion of the potential risks of a long term threat to the enterprise.

The format works at all levels, offering a framework within which to manage the meetings, from a 10 minute stand-up at the beginning of the shift, to board meetings, and the three day strategy session held annually.

It is the responsibility of the meeting chairperson to manage the time and agenda coverage, but the general recognition that the 1/3 structure will be used, just makes that job a bit smoother.

 

Once again, with thanks to Scott Adams, I have called on the wisdom of Dilbert for the header.

 

 

 

Focus: three ways to get it.

Focus: three ways to get it.

 

Focus across the activities of a business is essential.

It means everyone is on the same page, and there are only the key performance drivers that are there, all else has been, or is being eliminated until the value is greater than the cost. This sense of purpose delivered by consistent and clear focus ensures that everything fits together.

It also means that the leader has as their primary task, communication. That communication is cascaded through the organisation, enabling the focus on what is important, today, tomorrow and into the future, with a singular focus.

Every person running an SME I have ever seen struggles with focus. They are pulled in multiple directions, simply because as an SME, there is no-one else to get stuff done, and in addition, many running SME’s are doing so because the sense of ‘ownership’ is strong, and they do not want to let it go.

To change this instinctive behaviour is not easy, requiring 3 simple to say steps, which are always very hard to implement.

  • Precise definition of the goals. The temptation is to be general, make nice sounding goals that generate a nice warm feeling, without being specific. They are comfortable. Goals to be compelling drivers of behaviour and activity must be specific. The original and still the best framework is: ‘SMART’ goals. Specific, Measurable, Accountable, Reasonable, and Time-bound. When you get that right, the rest can follow, as it is clear if an activity is of value by asking the simple question: ‘Does this add to the progress of X?
  • Disallow Procrastination. It is easy to put off a decision, allocation of resource, choice between options, by the very reasonable tactic of wanting more precise information with which to make the best possible decision. Given decisions about resource allocations are always made in the absence of complete information, this hesitation often seems reasonable. However, it inhibits the speed with which decisions are made, implemented, and either reversed, when they prove to be sub optimal, or double downed on when they prove to be good. Speed is increasingly the measure by which successful enterprises measure themselves. Elsewhere I have discussed the OODA loop as a tool to encourage speed and the attendant agility that are so essential to success. Do not allow yourself to procrastinate. As George Patton is reported to have said: ‘A good plan, violently executed now, is better than a perfect plan next week’
  • Do the hard work. There is always easy work to be done, that takes the place of the hard work necessary to achieve the goals. Leaving the easy work and attacking the hard stuff is like contemplating the choices for a lovely spring afternoon. Going for lunch at the local pub overlooking the harbour or getting down and dirty in the factory to address something that may emerge as a problem next week. Do the hard work first, and then go to lunch if there is time left in the day.

An experienced and neutral party offers significant value as a sounding board, idea bank, and advisor. Find someone who has been there before, learned from the experience, that you trust, and reap the rewards.

 

Is cash always king?

Is cash always king?

 

 

Cash when it is working for you, is king.

However, cash sitting idle in a bank account fritters itself away, slowly, and over time.

Inflation, small purchases, fees, all eat away at the cash like mice in a wheat silo. A bit at a time.

Cash does not generate cash flow without being put to work. It is like going to the gym, it takes time, effort and commitment, but the result will show. Even when there are short term setbacks, interruptions, and periods of despondency acting as a brake, keeping working works.

We are in a time of unprecedented change.

This is more than just the Covid hangover starting to evolve, all that has done is greatly accelerate the changes that were emerging on the fringes.

The status quo in many areas has been thrown out the window. While that is deeply unsettling, and creates challenges most of us have not seen before, the flip side is that it also throws up opportunities not seen before.

Opportunities to fill the merging market niches, to pivot to different business models, serve new customers in different ways, or just grab assets and market share from less nimble competitors.

All of this consumes resources. The management time and inclination to make the necessary changes, and the cash to make it happen.

Successful businesses understand in detail how, and how much cash their enterprises generate. They keep borrowings to a minimum, giving them the ability to grab opportunities as they emerge, but they also keep their cash working, hard.

Header carton again courtesy of Scott Adams and his alter ego Dilbert.

7 tactics to increase the accuracy of your forecasting

7 tactics to increase the accuracy of your forecasting

 

Certainty in forecasting is the holy grail, being certain of the future means success. However, as we know the only thing we know for certain about the future, is that it will not be the same as the past, or present.

Quantifying uncertainty appears to be an oxymoron, but reducing the degree of uncertainty would be a really useful competitive outcome.

When you explicitly set about quantifying the degree of uncertainty, risk, in a decision, you create a culture where people look for numbers not just supporting their position, but those that may lead to an alternative conclusion. This transparency of forecasts that underpin resource allocation decisions is enormously valuable.

How do you go about this?

  • Start at the top. Like everything, behaviour in an enterprise is modelled on behaviour at the top. If you want those in an enterprise to take data seriously, those at the top need to not just take it seriously, but be seen to be doing just that.
  • Make data widely available, and subject to detailed examination and analysis. In other words, ‘Democratise’ it, and ensure that all voices with a view based on the numbers are heard.
  • Ensure data is used to show all sides of a question. In the absence of data showing every side of a proposition, the presence of data that emphasises one part of a debate at the expense of another will lead to bias. Data is not biased, but people usually are. In the absence of an explicit determination to find data and opinion that runs counter to an existing position, bias will intrude.
  • Educate stakeholders in their understanding of the sources and relative value of data.
  • Build models with care, and ensure they are tested against outcomes forecast, and continuously improved.
  • Choose performance measures with care, make sure there are no vanity or one sided measures included, and that they reflect outcomes rather than activities.
  • Explicit review of the causes of variances between a forecast and the actual outcomes is essential. This review process, and the understanding that will evolve will lead to improvement in the accuracy of forecasts over time.

Data is agnostic, the process of turning it into knowledge is not. Ensure that the knowledge that you use to inform the forecasts of the future are based on agnostic analysis, uninfluenced by biases of any sort. This is a really tough cultural objective, as human beings are inherently biased; it is a cognitive tool that enables us to function by freeing up ‘head space’ reducing the risk of being overwhelmed.

Consistent forecast accuracy is virtually impossible, but being consistently more accurate than your competition, while very tough, is not.  Forecast accuracy is therefore a source of significant competitive advantage.

 

Header cartoon courtesy Scott Adams and his side-kick, Dilbert.

 

Forecast in cartoons

 9 reasons you should implement checklists

 9 reasons you should implement checklists

 

 

A key part of managing activity is to record it as necessary to be done, check it off when done, and make any observation necessary for next time.

This holds true from the development of a strategy down to the daily activities on the shop floor, and everything in between. The only difference is the scale of the things that are being recorded, discussed, and allocated to a responsible person, and perhaps the time between reconciliations.

Years ago I obtained a private pilots licence. An essential part of the training was to have a list of items to be checked off prior to take-off. In that case, it was not a written checklist, as when you are filling in a written checklist yourself, it is too easy to just run down the list and tick all the items as done. In that case the list was physical: my hand went to the item being checked off in the plane ‘walk-around’, and then in the cockpit, touching the item concerned. This addition of the physical to the memorised and written list ensured it was done. In the cockpit of a commercial airliner, where there is a co-pilot, the co-pilot has the written checklist, which he reads out to the captain, who checks the status and reports back for recording by the co-pilot.

Checklists serve a number of purposes:

  • They serve as a specific reminder, as our memories are faulty, and prone to taking the easy way out.
  • Repeating a list builds memory and habit, and when a habit is broken, we become uncomfortable, our ‘survival’ 6th sense kicks in.
  • It provides assurance that the item has been done in an accountable manner.
  • It provides the opportunity for specific feedback and immediate remedial action. In a factory this may be to complete an unfinished run from the previous shift, deliver preventative maintenance to a piece of machinery, and a thousand other things.
  • It acts as a training profile to be followed by newcomers. Theoretically this should enable someone with no knowledge of the specific process to be able to complete it, simply by following the checklist.
  • It allocates responsibility for actions to be done. During the resurrection of Ford by Alan Mulally, he had a daily meeting with his direct reports, in which they reported on the activities they had been allocated from the previous day. Clearly this process is not just for the factory floor.
  • During those meetings Mulally also had the daily Ford cash balance calculated and shown, which underlined the importance of cash to the business during a time when they were losing money at a huge rate.
  • Lists enable the allocation of priorities, so that resources can be allocated in the most impactful manner.
  • Lists act as ‘grease’ for collaboration

 

Have you ever noticed that those who have the discipline to do daily and weekly checklists for themselves, and stick to them, appear more productive than their peers?

That is generally because they are.

Header photo credit: NASA

 

That fatuous claim of total commercial infallibility.

That fatuous claim of total commercial infallibility.

I just had another of those moments that caused an unpleasant ‘tummy churn’.

A post from a so called ‘business coach’ that promised a ‘business turnaround in 90 days’.

Perhaps they know something I do not.

Having stumbled around in this arena for 35 years, I have not yet found anything like the template that can make any sort of promise like that.

Yes, there are sensible activities you can do that when done well will create the opportunities for significant change and improvement. Sometimes a complete revision of the business can be kicked off, but events rarely happen like that in the absence of an outside catalyst.

Every successful turnaround I have seen, or been involved with, has had four common characteristics:

  • They have identified and taken immediate action that addresses the current activities that cost more than they generate in customer value. In other words, putting customer service and satisfaction at the centre of consideration.
  • They have taken the immediate opportunities, often staring them in the face, to increase revenue
  • They have removed the usually obvious wasted effort and activity which when eliminated delivers incremental cost free capacity.
  • They have ensured that the actions taken are scalable.

In that 4 part formula is a host of improvement opportunity, and difficulty.

And, it is never completed in 90 days. It is a journey, with a first 90 days, followed by another, and another.

To promise a ‘90 day turn-around’ is fantasy. It simply cannot be delivered; best you can do is to take a big first step along the road. However, taking that first step is often the hardest one to take.

Beware of the gold tooth brigade!