Oct 14, 2024 | Analytics, Marketing
Against my better judgment, I recently engaged in a conversation about the ‘Law of Purchase Duplication’ with a young marketer. He seemed quite convinced that he was delivering a groundbreaking insight to a marketing dinosaur.
In essence, the law argues that the larger a brand’s market penetration, the more likely a consumer is to purchase alternative brands within the same category. Smaller brands, on the other hand, struggle with loyalty, relying primarily on occasional or incidental purchases when they fall within a larger brand’s ecosystem.
This concept, while not new, remains fundamental to understanding brand dynamics in the marketplace.
Back in the day, we referred to it as the purchaser’s ‘acceptable pool of brands.’
This young hot shot expanded on the advantages of being the dominant brand, and how it becomes self-sustaining through positioning, weight and quality of advertising, brand salience, product accessibility, and consumer perception. While this may all be true, the notion of it being ‘self-fulfilling’ is a step too far.
The reality is that maintaining market dominance requires constant effort and adaptation to changing consumer preferences and market conditions.
During our discussion, the topic of brand loyalty surfaced, leading to several useful questions about what brand loyalty truly means in today’s fast moving consumer markets:
- Does it mean that no other brand will ever be purchased under any circumstances?
- Does it only matter when a preferred brand is unavailable?
- Is there a sliding scale of brand loyalty that correlates to price differences?
- How does this law of duplication apply to sub-categories within the same brand?
- What are the varying impacts of demographics and psychographics of consumers?
- Could brand loyalty simply be a combination of awareness and preference, disconnected from actual purchasing behaviour in-store?
These questions highlight the complexity of consumer brand loyalty and the need for an understanding of the nuanced drivers of consumer behaviour in every market.
Over the years, I’ve been intimately involved with several instances where this so-called ‘Duplication of Purchase Law’ played out in real-world brand battles:
Meadow Lea Vs all comers. The rapid ascent of Meadow Lea margarine in the late 70s and early 80s was astonishing. The brand evolved from one of many competitors to a market leader, at its peak dominating with three times the market share of its nearest rival. Although it was driven by exceptional advertising, there were several alternative brands consumers could have turned to. However, consistent availability, competitive pricing, and in-store sampling helped cement its position. These instore marketing activities supported the brand advertising that built long term brand salience and loyalty.
Yoplait Vs Ski. The yogurt wars between Yoplait and Ski during the 80s and 90s are another example. Yoplait initiated huge market growth by making yogurt mainstream when it launched. This left Ski, the previous leader, floundering and scrambling to recover. Both brands became largely interchangeable despite product differentiation. Yoplait strawberry was an acceptable alternative to Ski strawberry, and vice versa. However, this dynamic didn’t extend evenly across other flavour categories or packaging formats. If Ski strawberry was unavailable, Yoplait strawberry was more likely to be purchased than an alternative ski flavour. These inconsistencies across the product categories and pack sizes, highlighted how nuanced and context-specific the Duplication of Purchase Law can be.
Having reliable data from the likes of Ehrenberg-Bass provides the statistical credibility necessary to sell what to date have been qualitatively understood wisdom, to the boardroom. However, it’s crucial to remember that this qualitative wisdom, built over time, should never be discarded or obscured by academic multi-syllable descriptions or management jargon. One-dimensional data cannot replace the wisdom accumulated by thoughtful marketers over time.
Oct 2, 2024 | Communication, Marketing
Marketing is about stories, and most stories start with an event, situation, or circumstances recorded in narrative form.
Being a marketer, I write frequently. Some of my musings are published on the StrategyAudit blog and often elsewhere. I also keep extensive files on ideas, snippets, URL’s of interest, anecdotes, and potentially useful metaphors. Usually it feeds my own interests, ‘ideas bank’ for this blog, and serves my clients.
Writing provides clarity, it helps give ideas substance, and form, and reveals holes. It also makes them stick in memory. Writing well will become even more critical as we spend more time prompting machines to give us answers. Machines are literal, failing to interpret the nuances of language we usually do not see.
When a piece is evolving towards publication, there are 4 basic rules of editing gleaned from experts I set out to follow.
- As short as possible, no shorter
Short, simple words make writing clearer and provide a better base for the reader’s imagination. I keep in mind Ernest Hemingway’s challenge to write a complete story in 6 words. His famous contribution was: “For sale: Baby shoes. Never worn.”
Remove words that do not add meaning. Words such as just, very, and so.
- Strong and simple words only
Using a weak verb with an adverb is both weak and adds unnecessary words. Find strong verbs to replace weak verbs and adverbs.
E.g. “Susan sprinted to the gate” instead of “Susan ran quickly to the gate.”
Similarly, use strong nouns.
E.g. Use “mansion” instead of “grand house,” or “athlete” instead of “outstanding runner.”
Ditch the thesaurus, those long, flowery words impress only you, not the reader.
- Replace passive voice with active
Passive voice is an engagement killer. It removes room for the reader’s imagination.
E.g. “The bully stole the boy’s bike” instead of “The boy’s bike was stolen by the bully.”
E.g. “The storm destroyed the garden” instead of “The garden was destroyed by the storm.”
Along with adding unnecessary flowery words, using passive voice is my most common error.
- Edit and edit again
No first draft is ever perfect. Ensure the basic stuff like spelling, grammar, capitalization, and comma placement are correct. Make sure each sentence is as short as possible and contains only one thought. Then read the copy aloud, or have a tool read it to you. I use the read function in Word to avoid the trap of reading aloud what should be there rather than what is there. It is amazing how many simple mistakes are revealed by having copy read back aloud.
Application of these four rules does improve the understanding and readability of your copy. This post has been edited, and re-edited numerous times with these 4 rules applied.
How did I do?
Sep 30, 2024 | Branding, Marketing
Pareto’s 80:20 principle applies universally, though its proportions vary across markets and circumstances. While media choices have proliferated over the past 25 years, the core drivers of consumer behaviour remain largely unchanged. However, brand loyalty has eroded as information became ubiquitous, and price promotions ‘trained’ buyers to prioritize ‘value,’ often misinterpreted as the lowest price available.
In Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) markets, the Pareto curve is typically flatter than in Business-to-Business (B2B) sectors. The rise of house brands has further flattened this curve, resulting in a significant percentage, often a majority of sales, occurring at discounted prices.
The work of the Ehrenberg-Bass Institute has refined Pareto’s rule into the ’20:30:50′ rule. This suggests that the heaviest 20% of buyers contribute around 50% of total purchases, the middle 30% account for 30%, and the lightest 50% of buyers account for 20% of purchases.
Market variations significantly impact purchase behaviour, influencing marketing strategies. For example, household laundry detergent is a category with near-universal penetration but relatively low purchase frequency, driven by household size and composition. In contrast, the disposable diaper market has low penetration but high purchase frequency among households with babies.
The choice of media, weight of media, and the nature of the message delivered will vary significantly between these two different categories. This is before considering the different behaviours and preferences of individual buyers in these markets.
These complex and interrelated success factors are often overlooked by amateur marketers, but are always considered by experienced professionals.
Sep 27, 2024 | Customers, Marketing
‘Marketing’ is a word used and misused widely. Perhaps that is because there are so many definitions around, including my own: ‘The generation, building, protection and leveraging of competitive advantage’
After 45 years of marketing, I have gained some experience. Often it has been painful, coming from the unexpected. Distilling all those lessons into a few headline statements has been a mission to help others.
Not all you try will work.
Marketing is about the future, trying to shape behaviour of your customers to remain with you, entice others to try you out, or for them to do something new. As a result, not everything you try will work. This is an unchanging truth irrespective of all the resources devoted to any project, or set of initiatives.
The customer is not always right.
Some customers, often many that are chased most seriously, simply do not matter. They will cost to capture and keep more than you can ever make from them. However, the right customers are always right. The challenge is defining who they are, recognising their pain points, gain points, articulating the value you deliver, and focusing resources on them.
Digital marketing and it’s ugly brother social media is not a silver bullet.
More often than not, relying on digital in the absence of other wider strategic considerations will result in you shooting yourself in the foot. Digital marketing in all its forms, is just another tool in the toolbox. Like any tool, it can be used well or badly depending on the context of use, and the skill of the user.
Customers articulate your brand better than you do.
Meaningful conversations around the board table that seek to define what your brand means to customers is nowhere near as effective as getting the meaning straight from the horse’s mouth. Your brand is what your customers say it is, not what you might wish for, believe, or what some consultant says is ideal. It is almost certainly not what your partner says it is.
Trends go both ways.
The positive trend in your market, your sales, customer attitudes and all the other things tracked will at some point turn and become a negative trend. Nothing lasts forever. Relying on a trend to continue driven simply by its own momentum is a dream. It might be OK in the short term, it will never be OK in the long term. Your task as a marketer is to identify the drivers of the trend you can influence, and do so, while acknowledging those you cannot control, and responding to them.
Success comes from being different.
Different requires risk, going against the grain and the crowd, and often internal naysayers. Success rarely comes from just being the same as others but slightly better. Being incremental can result in you holding your place in an ever-increasing pace of change occurring in every market, but it will never allow you to break the mould and build anything remarkable. It is remarkable that creates real success. The forces arrayed against being different are so powerful that it is an extraordinarily difficult path both for an individual and an enterprise. Perhaps that is why we focus attention and eulogise those few who do break through and generate something truly different
Sep 16, 2024 | Branding, Communication
‘Marketing’ & ‘Communication’ are two words that should not be compounded. They have entirely different meanings.
The confusion of meaning amongst quasi marketers is the beginning of wasted marketing budgets. It is also the source of much of the dumb rubbish clogging up the digital pipes.
Following are 4 strategies to increase effectiveness.
Define the objective of the communication.
What seems to happen here is that the tactics become confused with the objectives. This is not about optimising your website, or deciding whether or not to use Facebook ads, it is about creating the outcomes you want. Create demand for a product, generate awareness of the company, attract funding, and many others may be the objectives of a marketing investment, but they are not the tools for implementation. Lack of clarity of objectives, time frame, and performance metrics, is a basic marketing sin. I always advocate for a SMART framework.
Who is the audience?
Having figured out why you are communicating, the obvious next step is who you need to communicate with. Who is your ideal customer, and who do you need to engage to generate a transaction?
Your ideal customer may be hospitals with specialist surgical services. A relatively specific ideal customer, but inside that customer, there are those who sign the order, engineers who assess regulatory compliance, accountants who have control over budgets, and the medical staff who use the product. All have different concerns and motivations, and all require differing communications. Understanding the audiences, crafting messages and selecting the channels by which they will be delivered should be second nature.
What does your audience want and need to hear?
Often these are two different communications. They may want to hear about the prices and delivery times, but they need to hear about the regulatory status, availability, and detailed specifications of the range of options being presented to them.
Your task is to clearly communicate what it is you are offering, the benefit it delivers, and why they should care, along with presenting a call to action that is compelling.
How do you communicate?
What is the tone of the messages, and how do you reach the target is the oldest marketing challenge in the book.
Every successful marketing communication is in some form a story. Do you use drama, comedy, a villain, testimonial, or do you use an academic approach to the copy? This even applies to the blazing headline of a huge price reduction, where that is the only thing in the ad. Even that tells a story to those that see it.
What media is used, newspapers, magazines, social platforms, direct mail, email, digital advertising, face to face? In most cases it will be some combination of these, and many other options available to deliver messages.
While writing this post, it was constantly in my mind that ‘everyone knows this stuff’ and ‘nobody out there needs to be told, again, how to suck eggs’.
However, the weight of crap I see floating across the web, and sadly into my inbox, unsolicited, told me otherwise.
I am confident nobody reading this needs to hear it again, but perhaps you could share it to your less enlightened comrades.
If you want to get noticed, lift your game!
Header illustration via DALL-E in 5 seconds.
Aug 30, 2024 | Collaboration, Marketing, Small business, Strategy
Identifying, building, defending and leveraging competitive advantage has been, and will remain, the foundation of successful marketing.
It is also the essence of strategy: making choices with incomplete information that serve to shape the future to your benefit as it arrives.
The challenge is, the location of competitive advantage has moved, and many, if not most, have failed to pick the move.
Think about it.
Until the early 2020’s, competitive advantage was still all about brand, scale, control of supply chains, access to capital, and the ‘old boys network’. To use Charlie Mungers description, they constituted the ‘Moats’ around successful businesses. Kodak, Xerox, GE, GM, Exxon, IBM, Wal-Mart, P&G, and the banks and insurance companies ran the world on the basis of wide and deep moats built on these 5 factors.
Suddenly, the world moved on.
We watched as a raft of new businesses leveraging the capabilities of the internet took over. Along with the obvious Amazon, Facebook, Alibaba, Google, Uber, Air BnB, eBay, Netflix, Salesforce, and others that are pure internet plays, you had Apple, Microsoft, and more recently Tesla, combining the connectivity of the net with the ‘old school marketing moats’ in whole new ways.
What made the difference?
Each of the newbies benefitted from network effects.
Those that dropped out of sight did not.
Even some of the tech giants of the very early 2000’s, such as Yahoo and Alta Vista have dropped out of sight because they failed to recognise the potential value they had in their hands. They did not leverage the potential network effects.
Those network effects have two differing core types:
- An ecosystem of complementary, and often partially competitive enterprises that support each other’s efforts. This occurs particularly often in R&D, early-stage commercial development and in logistics and supply chain management.
- Double sided markets, such as eBay, Facebook, and Air BnB, where the value of the offering increases with the number of people connected to it.
The answer to the question posed in the header: in your networks!
On a simple scale you see it all the time in retail. The specialist shoe shop in the mall collaborating and cross promoting with the fashion dress shop.
Your networks will build as you create value for others greater than the cost of being a part of the network.
