What is the core KPI of Marketing?

 

The answer just has to be ‘Sustainable Margin’.

An enterprise can only do three things to increase margin, however you choose to define that term.

  1. Lift prices.
  2. Expand sales.
  3. Decrease production and operating costs.

Options 1 and 2 are often seen as mutually exclusive, but truly successful marketers prove the opposite. The gold standard here is the Apple iPhone, 15% market share of volume, 85% market share of industry profitability.

Marketing has at least some control over the prices and sales efforts, but usually little over the operating costs.

None of these strategies are easy, neither are they short term.

It would seem that a focus on the drivers of margin will pay big dividends

What is the biggest driver of margin?

Brands.

The greatest store of economic value we have ever seen.

Would Apple have  been the first trillion dollar business without the premium held by the Apple brand?

No. It would be in the gutters scrapping with Samsung, that also happens to be one of its key suppliers from whom they buy screens. I bet that Apple headquarters is looking for an alternative supplier for some price competition, and that Samsung is investing in the tech in order to hold and enhance the margins they would be making from their wealthiest customer.

In a homogenising world where it is getting harder and harder to build a brand, a long term intangible asset it is becoming ever more crucial that you do so in order to protect margins and remain competitive.

Like Rome, brands are not built in a day, and you need experts doing the building.

 

Header photo courtesy Tom Shockey via Flikr.

Is marketing losing its humanity?

Marketing, when I first started was a mind-set that had at its core, the customer.

The information we had was by todays standards in the dark ages, and we had to work really hard for it. We pored over sales and basic market research reports by hand, working with others in the supply chain, and most importantly, talking to customers, real ones, over a coffee, lunch, or even on the golf course.  In the process we learned about their problems and aspirations, and once in a while, came up with something good.

In the meantime, we  got to know in some detail what they were seeking, and how we might best address that quest. Yes, it was an expensive and time consuming process, and yes, it was subject to being less of a commercial exercise than it was a tonic for the ego, but it was effective.

Now all we do is pore over the deluge of data generated by algorithms driven by marketing technology: Martech.

We delude ourselves that in doing so we  are not missing anything,  but the reality is that we are so deluged that we risk missing what should be the obvious, and more importantly, the less obvious connections visible to the experienced and informed human eye, invisible to an algorithm.

The central objective of marketing is to solve a customers problem, add value to their lives in some way, and have them come back for more.

I am unsure of how this end is achieved by constant automated updates, unsolicited sales offers, chasing them around the net with ads for stuff they do not want, and making them click away a detested pop up.  So called marketing people, those who have emerged in the last 15 years, seem to think that actually engaging with a customer, talking to them, asking questions to which they might  not like the answer, is akin to walking on stage to deliver a presentation to a crowd: to be avoided at all costs!

Marketing is at its core, all about human interaction.

Martech has its place, but is not a silver bullet, or replacement for the insight that comes from humanity.

 

Header cartoon courtesy Tom Gauld at www.tomgauld.com

 

 

 

How to think critically about your essential investments in marketing

 

Marketing is almost always seen as an operating expense rather than an investment in the future.

This reality poses an absurd paradox.

We treat investments in capital equipment for our businesses, and various financial instruments for our own wealth generation,  as items on a balance sheet. By contrast, we treat marketing investments, and particularly those made in various forms of communication, as discretionary items recorded in the profit and loss account as an expense.

Why do we make this distinction?

Both forms of investment have as their motivator, the generation of future cash flow. Just because it is a bit harder to calculate the return on marketing investment than it is to calculate the return on an investment in capital equipment, or financial instruments, should not be a deterrent to the effort.

Nothing is more critical to the long term commercial health of an enterprise than the investment in marketing. What could be more important than identifying, communicating, creating transactions and building relationships with customers, that generate future revenue and cash flow?.

There are 3 basic strategies considered by financial investors

Index investment.

This is a passive, low cost, average but relatively safe return strategy, sticking to stocks that reflect the particular index against which the performance measures will be applied. The most usual are the S&P and ASX 200 indices.

Arbitrage investment.

Essentially this is a short term strategy that assumes the investor is smarter than the market, able to recognise mispricing before anyone else, and their IT programs. It involves a lot of buying and selling of stocks, and often commodity contracts, essentially bets on the short term movement of price. Over the long term, there is plenty of research around that indicates that the performance is around the major stock indices. This is also a high cost strategy, in that the constant trading incurs transaction fees, usually not included in the published performance metrics.

Value investment.

Investing for value is a strategy that involves taking a long term view of the businesses in which you invest. This means you engage deeply, not just with the numbers, but with the management and culture, as well as taking a view of the marketplace in which they compete. It is a ‘filtering’ strategy, one where a lot of research boils down the potential targets to a very few, in which you take a significant position. It is a focussing of resources at the specific points where you see there is long term returns available, and are prepared to accept the vagaries of the short term focussed market gyrations.

If you apply a similar frame to the manner in which businesses make investments in marketing, there is a remarkable similarity.

Index marketing.

Doing what everyone else is doing, being average, a follower, and risk minimiser. It also ensures you do not stand out from the crowd, which in a cut-throat marketing world means nobody notices or cares about you, so perhaps you should save your money.

Arbitrage marketing.

Those following this strategy are just applying tactical actions to situations they see, there is no underpinning strategy, just advertising and promotion, usually driven by a budget that has to be spent, and KPI’s that measure the activity, rather than the harder to measure  outcomes of the activity. The driving word is ‘campaign’. A string of tactical activities will be seen as a campaign, and usually there is little flow from one campaign to another. This tendency has been accelerated to stupid proportions by digital, where the cycle time of a campaign, limited as they have been, has reduced from months to days. No longer are we looking for the strategic ‘big idea’ that will engage and motivate customers over a long period, we are looking for 10 ideas for the Facebook and Instagram posts in the next 24 hours.

Value marketing.

Successful marketing requires a solid strategy, well executed with a long term perspective. Over time, you will fiddle with the details as you become more familiar with the minutiae involved, and you fine tune the application of funds as you learn, but it is a multi-year commitment, not a 6 month campaign, and certainly not a few ‘cat photos’ on Instagram. Such ‘cat photos’ may be a tiny part of the tactical execution, but are never a component of the strategy. This takes time, resources, and most importantly, a laser focus on what is important to  the selected group of primary customers. Over time, you communicate your value proposition that defines why they should do business with you, rather than someone else, and do so at a price that delivers you a premium return, while delivering them premium value.  Then you retain their business, increasing your share of wallet, innovating, reducing customer churn, all of which delivers sustainable cash flow.

If any of the above arguments holds true, then it must be that the measures we use to make decisions about our financial selves should be able to be adapted to the investments we make in marketing.

Step one is to see it as a long term investment in prosperity, and not a short term expense to be reported and forgotten, hidden in a monthly P&L.

Step two is to have a robust, well thought out strategy, that is able to optimise tactically in real time.

Step three is to implement and learn relentlessly, seeking the elusive cause and effect chains that must exist between marketing activity and cash flow.

 

Cartoon credit: Scott Adams and Dilbert reflecting on investment strategies.

 

 

 

The new Revenue Generation paradigm

When was the last time you made a sale without the customer first doing a google search on their problem, and alternative solutions, before you knew they existed?

A while ago I bet!

Customers no longer need you, the information you have, and  the products you sell, simply because they can easily find many alternatives.

The traditional sales funnel, starting with awareness, moving through familiarity, to intent and action, is dead. The model of a marketing function producing ideas and collateral, which is thrown over the organisational silo wall to sales to use for everything from the cold call to take the order is also dead.

In its place is a flywheel with has customers at its centre.

This simply means you have to know your customers intimately, not just their demographics, their circumstances and behavioural patterns. This in turn implies a great deal of work has been done in defining who is your ideal customer, and being able to reach out to them at a time when they are in ‘buying mode’, with a solution to the problem they are facing, that you can solve better, in some way, than anyone else.

There are no magic bullets to any of this, it takes hard work, experimentation, and persistence, and most importantly, the assistance of those customers you do know well,  to tell you what you need to do to keep them. When you enhance your levels of service, then they will be your sales force, spreading the word, one by one.

The Buyers journey is also an old fashioned cliché, usually represented by a linear process. These days it is no such thing, it is more a series of many interdependent decision points, whose order is often  changed as your ideal customer drops in an out of a decision cycle that is independent of you, the seller.  

No longer should you see Sales and Marketing as separate functions, one feeding the other. Both are part of a highly variable non-linear Revenue Generation process over which you may have some influence, but no control.

The day of the functional silo being efficient is over, thrown out the window by the power of the buyer!

 

 

 

 

 

The curse of insider knowledge

When we know something, the automatic expectation is that those with whom we are communicating understand it equally well.

This automatic, unrecognised assumption can be a barrier, and at its worst, a curse.

Participating in a conversation a while ago where I was the outsider amongst a group of Canberra bureaucrats, their verbal shorthand, particularly around the departmental names and programs was incomprehensible to me. The terminology  was perfectly well understood by all of them, and they were surprised at my ignorance, when I pulled them up and pointed it out.

Try a little experiment.

Tap out a song, like happy birthday, with a pencil on a desk, and have people tell you what it is. We expect most to be able to pick it, the tune is obvious to us, singing it in our minds as we do it, but only a few actually pick it.

Of course, this closed communication loop is used all the time as a badge of membership, and a means of exclusion.

It may be that the group I was talking to were expressing their status as insiders by excluding me, but assuming this is not the intent, it was nevertheless the effect.

Every group has its own set of verbal and behavioral tools. These can be used as an offensive weapon, a means of exclusion, or they can be a tool of inclusion, it just depends on how you use it.

 

Header cartoon credit: Scott Adams and his mate Dilbert.

The 3 complications of calculating an accurate ROI on your digital marketing investment.

Self styled ‘experts’, flog all sorts of metrics that are supposed to tell you how well your digital marketing efforts are doing.

Many of them do give useful information,  but it is only ever partial.

I am certainly one who loudly  advocates the extensive use of data to measure and improve the productivity of marketing investments.

Opt in rates

Sales Conversion rates

Earnings per click

Cost per click,

On, and on, and on.

Being an old fart means I like simple stuff, and the simple measure of the effectiveness of your marketing dollar is the return on investment. ROI. The actions taken as a result of the investment divided by the cost to inspire and  motivate that action.

Always has been the best measure, always will be!

Until the digital stuff took over, the best you could do was take an educated guess, informed by some research and experience.

Now you can usually get a pretty good read on ROI if  you think hard about it.

How much did we spend divided by how much we got back.

There are  really only three  complications, beyond the technical ones involving statistics, and the lies that they can tell. Also, unfortunately, many marketers are lousy at statistics and mathematics, which is often a challenge to credibility.

First. Over what time frame do you do the measurement?  For example, the lifetime value of a customer means you need a framework to make the calculation. This involves a lot of data as well as assumptions, and an intimate knowledge of customer behaviour over an extended period. This is very hard to get right, so most just use averages, which are almost always misleading. If my right foot is in a fire, and my left in a bucket of ice water, on average, my feet are at a comfortable temperature. Nonsense.

Second. Attribution. Which part of the investment led to the transaction? Was it the digital marketing activity, or the manner in which the receptionist took the phone call, or a thousand other sometimes tiny things that contribute to the transaction evolving. This challenge is not exclusive to digital marketing, it is to all marketing activity. However, the specific and very misleading claim made by most digital urgers, that you can measure the effectiveness of an investment in digital because you can measure movement through the ‘sales funnel’ is simply ignoring the reality of attribution. The claims made by the urgers of digital that they can reliably deliver attribution sufficient to make micro adjustments to the allocation of resources in an ever evolving competitive context is rubbish. You can get closer than a ‘best guess,’ but not with anything resembling statistical reliability.

Third. There are still things that we simply cannot measure. Most of us would agree that being a good parent is a great investment in the success of our kids, but how do you calculate an ROI on parenthood? Similarly, the impact of being part of an enterprise culture that encourages and values diversity of opinion,  enables all stakeholders to have a genuine voice, and creates alignment of objectives, is hard to measure.

None of the above should restrain you from making the effort, and continuously improving the methodology as you learn more about your customers, and their behaviour, but it is a warning to those who just believe the nonsense peddled by digital urgers with a dog in the fight for your money.

Header cartoon credit: Tom Fishburne at www.marketoonist.com