Jack is back!!

Jack is back!!

 

Tesco in the UK is in the launch phase of a discount chain, ‘Jacks’ as a competitive response to the inroads of German discounters Aldi and Lidl.

I can only assume Coles and Woolies management are watching with interest, as they have yet to find a way to combat Aldi in their backyard, and in the absence of a better idea might just copy it, almost as something to do.

Second ranked Sainsbury’s strategy has been different. They are ‘merging’ with Wal-Marts Asda chain in a deal reported to be  worth 7.3 billion pounds. This deal would take them past Tesco as the UK’s biggest retailer, and so needs regulatory approval. Wal-Mart bought Asda in 1999, believing their discount model that made them the biggest retailer in the world by a country mile, would work in the UK. They have clearly failed in the face of more effective discounters from Germany. Meanwhile, both Aldi and Lidl are rummaging around in Wal-Marts US backyard.

Perhaps Wal Mart have recognised the threat to their dominance is coming from more than Amazon and are hunkering down for a fight?

As this all unfolds, I suspect history will reveal that Tesco has made a huge blue.

They are setting out to make Jacks clearly part of the ‘Tesco family’ according to the blurb sprouted by CEO David Lewis at the opening of the first Jacks, just down the road from an Aldi site. At the same time, they are committed to sourcing ‘British first’.  This is a mix of business models that must make the Aldi executives giggle with joy, as all it will do is drain money from the Tesco coffers while highlighting Aldi’s positioning as the cheapest around. Setting out to ‘out-Aldi’ Aldi will be a doomed strategy, particularly as they have already compromised it by being overtly British first. This approach may appeal to some, but those who shop at Aldi do so for the price, first, second and last, and will not care about ‘Britishness’, so all Tesco will be doing is damaging their own positioning, and dropping bundles of cash.

From a distance, I hope those few in Coles and Woolies who have been around for a while will whisper some common sense into the ears of their bosses.

Anyone remember Jack the slasher, Franklins, Bi-Low, and Jewel’ ?

All discounters, all now gone.

Content quality trumps quantity, every time!

Content quality trumps quantity, every time!

Marketers have always created ‘Content’ as a means to  raise awareness, motivate an action, build a brand. It is what they do in an effort to hook into the behavioural patterns of their customers in order to build a relationship and generate revenue.

Human beings learned to tell stories as a means to communicate the things that are important to them way before they learned to record things on clay tablets.

So, ‘Content’ is not new, the form has just morphed over the last 20 years with the emergence of digital tools as a more efficient way to spread the ‘content’. We also know that the ubiquitous bullet points may simplify things, but they are easily forgotten, whereas a compelling narrative is remembered.

It is just the way our brains have evolved to work.

Content should be organised as stories, marketers should know this by now, and mostly do, but often fail to give us stores that are memorable and relevant, that touch an emotion.

The old story of the poet and the beggar makes the point.

The beggar asks the poet for money, but the poet having none himself offers to re-write the beggars sign, which just says ‘Blind. Please help.” to ‘Spring is coming, but I will not see it’. A week later, when the poet sees the blind man again, he is not surprised to hear the donations have soared. A simple change of word from a fact to a story that touches the emotions.

Our brains are wired to recognise and recall stories, details are remembered, so when you relate the story to others, all the colour, movement and emotion of the original remains.

Stories take a lot of development and telling, they are very hard work and are optimised over time. Attention to detail, selecting stories and story lines that really dig into the emotions are crucial.

Marketers are now required to measure everything, stories are no different. Generally the conversion rate that is relevant is the best measure. How many finished the story, how many then did what you wanted them to do.

Mediocrity rules, the 80:20 rule is really 95:5 in stories, as only the great ones  get read, create engagement and sharing, and to do this, it is all about quality, not quantity.

Ever wonder why some content goes viral?

Well for one reason or another it is in the 5% that is worthy of  the attention and sharing, aim to be in the 5%, which means that the effort has to be organic, you cannot outsource passion and commitment, it has to be in the DNA of the business.

(Sorry about the ickky  word in the headline, I have even stopped playing 500)

Cartoon credit. My thanks again to Tom Fishburne, the Marketoonist. Another marketing story told in a cartoon

P,S. This morning, in my inbox was this new ‘storybook’ by the great Hugh McLeod and Brian Solis, supported by Linkedin. It makes my point better than I ever could. I encourage you to download it and have a look. I love Hughs work, as any reader will know, I often have his cartoons as headers, as the say so much in a few lines.

 

 

 

 

Customer value conforms to the laws of Thermodynamics

Customer value conforms to the laws of Thermodynamics

Theoretical Physicists disagree on a lot, but one thing they do agree on is that matter is constant, it does not disappear, it can undergo changes of form, and become something different, but is not destroyed.

Value is like matter, it does not disappear, it just undergoes change, and moves somewhere else.

Customers used to look for value in places where they no longer get the best return, so they look elsewhere to find it.

Technology may destroy some jobs, as it has in retail, and factories, but the jobs are not destroyed, they change form and move elsewhere.

For the last 20 years I have heard the ‘technology destroys jobs’ story, usually told by those with a direct interest in the industries being disrupted, in parallel to the number of jobs being created, usually touted by politicians with an agenda.

This is  not to denigrate the pain of those whose jobs are replaced by an automated process, but it does demonstrate the movement from one form to another.

Apple may have been a destroyer of jobs in some sectors, but they created many more in different locations, and in newly imagined retail as they re-created lost retail jobs in their Apple stores, now the most successful retailer in the world on a GM/Square foot metric.

If you take this perspective when thinking about the pressures on your business, and how it must respond to those pressures to survive, you just might be one of the fortunate ones who sees a picture of what the future might look like, and move there in front of the wave.

My favourite marketing strategist, Albert Einstein, once again, got it right!!

 

The online advertising fantasy revealed

The online advertising fantasy revealed

 

The web gives us huge value, piles of stuff we want that we think we need, for free.

Or is it?

The web is fuelled by advertising. Pure and simple.

The ‘free ‘ stuff we get is really in exchange for our eyeballs, not because there is some benevolent power seeking to help us.

The two most powerful businesses on the planet, Google and Facebook are dependent on advertising for their profitability. Ok, Google has diversified a lot, and now generates profits from all sorts of other activities, but the core is still ads.

As consumers we all want the free stuff, and resent the advertising, otherwise, we would not install all the millions of ad blockers we have.

Pity no-one seems to have figured out what Don Draper knew, that advertising to be of commercial value has to be entertaining, as well as informative and behaviour changing. The deluge of crap on the web seems to have overwhelmed the need to be anything other than there. Those who flog various forms of unaccountable ‘ad tech’ have badly  mistaken the value of the big idea, believing that many small poor ideas used every day, labelled content, can add up to the impact of the one big one.

Fantasy.

This missive is fuelled by the recent tightening of the LinkedIn algorithms related to the number and apparent management of ads being shown on an individuals home page, and the increasing challenge of communicating in groups. Clearly, the Microsoft behemoth is becoming more aggressive about squeezing  a return from its purchase of LinkedIn. Not unreasonable in principal, but if they wreck the reason we are all there, it will blow up in their face.

It is time to wake up and recognise that advertising is the foundation of the web, so it had better be good, or the foundations will crumble. Advertising itself is not bad, it is bad advertising that is bad, coupled with its rotten digital bedfellow, tracking.

Having our digital footsteps stored and accumulated to better ‘personalise’ the ads we see, which is really code for trashing any personal digital security and privacy we may have, is not something I like at all. To my mind, it is a significant part of the price we really pay for the ‘free stuff’, and is on he verge of becoming too high.

Cartoon credit: Once again to Tom Fishburne, who continues to distil the fluff, self interest, hubris and pure bullshit that infests the marketing industry into bite sized chunks of reality.

‘Data Science’ in marketing is frequently bullshit

‘Data Science’ in marketing is frequently bullshit

I started life as an accountant, and luckily, recognised before anyone else that I would be the world’s worst. However, from my trials, I do have respect for numbers, proof, real outcomes tested and validated by the scientific method.

As a marketer, I have always tried to find the quantitative base of the stuff I was doing, rather than being seduced by the hyperbole, supposition, and self-interested ‘data’ presented by someone with an interest in the outcome.

Usually that someone has had a pecuniary interest in the decision. They are selling something, from a piece of machinery to an advertising campaign, to a bottle of shampoo sitting on a supermarket shelf.

Science starts with a hypothesis that you set out to prove by trying to disproving it. Having failed to disprove it, the result must be the truth. As Arthur Conan Doyle via Sherlock Holmes said ‘When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.‘ A sample of 12 carefully selected personnel from your ad agency does not constitute proof that your made up new natural sounding ‘extract’ will make your hair shine.

‘Data’ as used by whole ranges of marketers, advertisers, and perhaps worst of all, politicians, is often nothing like a reliable representation of the truth, it is just the opposite. It is the selective use of bits of pieces of information, (real or imagined)  and contextual engineering that suits the pre-ordained conclusion that is presented. The opposite to the scientific method, in that the result is determined, then data is constructed that does as good a job as possible to ‘prove’ the outcome.

In academic and scientific circles, this is a heinous crime that will end your career.

From time to time I have not been popular as a result of asking what to me seems to be reasonable questions of those presenting ‘data’ in an effort to sell something.

What is the size and structure of the sample used?

How does the methodology replicate actual behaviour?

What controls were used to manage the data?

Where did the outliers come from, and where are they in the stats?

Have the results been substantiated by independent repeat studies?

There are a few more, but usually I only get one or two out before I am dismissed as some sort of data cretin who does not understand these things.

It is amazing to me how often I see major decisions taken on the basis of flawed, incomplete and inconsistent ‘data’ where the vested interest is clear to all who choose to look closely.

 

 

What makes the perfect business?

What makes the perfect business?

A while ago after a networking meeting, a few of us went to a pub for a steak, and ended up solving the problems of the world on beer coasters.

As you do.

Given we all owned and ran small businesses, the main topic of conversation was around the nature of the perfect business, the one none of us had.

The depth of intellectual effort that had gone into  the discussion deserved preservation, so I collected the tattered and somewhat wet coasters at the end of the night.

The next day it took a greater than anticipated effort to decipher what had been very clear just a few hours before. However, following are the parameters of the perfect business we arrived at.

  • It has a wide demand area, not just the local area, the world. This is now a possibility whereas a decade ago it was still fantasy.
  • You have a ‘monopoly’ in a niche, with inelastic demand. To achieve this the business must be very specific, and very good at what it does. So good, and so specific in fact, that it is simply not worth the investment and risk of competitors coming after you, but customers need your product and are prepared to pay for it. (A former client sold a highly refined chemical into a high end niche in the professional photographic market. A tiny, narrow world market, where the users needed the product in very small quantities, so price was not an issue, but the challenges for a competitor were significant. Perfect.
  • Substitutes are hard to find. In the example above, there were substitutes, quite acceptable ones at average levels of output integrity, but at the really pointy end, there were none so he could set his own prices. This is, until digital took over, making his business one of the bits of disrupted post digital debris.
  • Labour costs are minimal, the fewer personnel the better. Contractors undertake the recurrent processes, often in lower cost locations.
  • As above with overheads, which just anchor you to a place.
  • Investments in inventory, which chews up working capital, are minimal.
  • The business is mobile, in the sense it really does not matter if the HQ is in Sydney, Melbourne, or under a tree in Port Douglas.
  • There are limited regulatory regimes that interfere in the running of the business. The opposite is also true, where the regulatory impositions are so high that they discourage competition.
  • There is some element of cash, not for tax evasion purposes (although this angle did have some attraction) but to minimise the working capital necessary to run the day to day operations.
  • It is not bricks and mortar retail. Sounds specific, but in retail there are always long hours, and problems with personnel and customers, that just get in the way of making a profit. Besides, B&M retail is in the early stages of disruption, and Amazon had just opened their warehouse in Melbourne.
  • It is a subscription business of some sort, where the revenue just rolls in without the necessity to go through the sales process again and again for every dollar of revenue.
  • It is not a straight trade of your time for money, there has to be leverage involved. The web with its opportunity to leverage content has opened up a host of opportunities not around a few years ago.
  • The business has some value to your ‘internal’ life. It is something you love, it feeds your intellect, gives you the time you need to chase a dream, whatever it is, it delivers more than just the financial rewards.

None of this allows you to be successful in the absence of real marketing understanding, a product that fills a genuine need in ways not easily replicated by others, and a bit of being in the right place at the right time. Being able to see an opportunity when it knocks is critical, as it rarely knocks twice.

Additions to the list are very welcome, and it may serve as a scorecard for your business!!