Are supermarket customers a means to an end, or the end?

Are supermarket customers a means to an end, or the end?

May 18, 2016 | Customers, Marketing, retail

Woolworths has delivered in spades to shareholders in the last 20 years, but the rot had set in a decade ago.  The seeds of the rot were assisted in my view by a lack of credible competition, and management losing touch with the subtle changes happening in consumer attitudes and behaviour that added together began making a noticeable performance difference 5 or 6 of years ago.

Can it be reversed, we will know in another 3-5 years.

New CEO Brad Banducci appears to be making sweeping changes at Woolies, ditching his fancy CEO office for a workstation sends a string messages, stronger yet is the message to his troops that it is not just desired that they get into the stores, it is mandatory.

Getting the executive decision makers close to the retail action……..what a novel idea!

Former Executive chairman Paul Simons who pulled Woolies out of the gutter in the late 80’s after returning from a gig as MD of trail-blazer discounter Franklins, was famous for turning  up unannounced in stores, checking the minor details of the way the store was operating and presented to consumers, talking to floor staff, and espousing frugality as a great virtue. He must have been dismayed at the way Woolies followed Coles into an extravagant head office, seeing it as a sign of executives isolating themselves from the interaction with  customers in stores, where retail success is won or lost.

In the 80’s the Morrisons chain, then  concentrated in the North of England before they expanded south, was a leader in produce merchandise. Their stores were the best I had seen to that point anywhere in the world. In a store one  day near Leeds during a visit to the UK, complementing the manager on the display during a conversation where I was sucking his brains, he pointed to an elderly gent in a brown cargdigan carefully stacking apples on a shelf, ‘that is the reason’ he said, “Mr Morrison turns up in a different store every day, so everyone is on their best game‘. I introduced myself, complementing him on his stores, I recall he said ‘did  not matter what happened elsewhere, it was the little things in the stores that made the difference’.

I never forgot that conversation, it reminded me at the time of the words of Paul Simons, and of Reg Clairs the real architect of “Fresh Food people” who I came to know very well after he retired from Woolworths.

It seems Brad Banducci heard it also.

You would think Woolies would have learnt from their experiences, plenty of opportunity to so.

They took over Dick Smith, and stuffed it up by ‘corporatising’ and in the process removing the things that made it successful. They watched the challenges and mistakes of BBC hardware in the early days of big box hardware, as Bunnings set the pace, then a decade later deciding to take on Bunnings with an inferior customer offer from a position of significant financial, branding and logistical weakness. Meanwhile, they had made a great start with Thomas Dux modelling Harris Farm, but again throwing out the things that delivered the early success in favour of more of the same from Woolies head office, arriving at the current place where Dux is being closed down.

Mass market retailing is a schizophrenic occupation.

On one hand, it is the advantages of scale that that deliver profitability, but at the retail selling face it remains a highly personal business. Get the balance wrong in either direction, and the financial results will follow. Allowing the financials to drive decision making  inevitably results on the focus being taken off the customers, and they will react accordingly.

7 thoughts on FMCG brand building by small suppliers

7 thoughts on FMCG brand building by small suppliers

May 13, 2016 | Branding, Marketing, retail

Competing in FMCG against the duopoly, rapidly becoming the ‘Triopoly’ as Aldi makes share inroads is not easy, never was. However, the optimist in me sees opportunities that few are leveraging, so set in ‘process concrete’ is the status quo.

The driver of the great change can be summed up in one word:

Digital.

It is the enabler of all the changes that are occurring before our eyes if we choose to see them, and the change has just started. Following is a list of the things I see evolving

Two way conversations with consumers.

Brands can now have a direct and two way dialogue with consumers. Digital technology is the enabler of a personalised dialogue across a variety of platforms and subjects. This new found ability has the promise of breaking the iron grip the retailers have over packaged goods sales. The flip side is that there are so many people and brands competing for the limited attention of consumers that it is increasingly hard to break through, and we marketers are kidding ourselves if we believe that consumers are as engaged, indeed, passionate about our brands as we are. The reality is FMCG brands are more a comfortable habit that removes another decision from our lives than something that consumers are waiting to hear from. Pewdiepie has well over 43.3 million Youtube subscribers, the largest number, and few over 35 have heard of them, a couple of blokes who make cheap satirical videos of gaming. Coca Cola, one of the leviathan of branded packaged goods, spends hundreds of $millions around the world on  digital content creation and distribution, has been one of the biggest brand advertisers for the last 50 years, and currently has (as of today April 15 2016) has 759,411 subscribers. If Coke cannot do it, why should you think you can? Are you the new Pewdiepie?

Engagement and awareness is earned.

In the ‘old days’ awareness was paid for by media advertising, the bloke with the fattest wallet won. Those days are well and truly over. As noted, Coke spends a fortune, but the level of engagement is not in the ballpark of someone who earns it by being relevant and interesting to a niche market, albeit now  being a niche that is more like a crevasse.

Availability of behavioural data.

Scan data that all grocery retailers now collect offers a huge depth and variety of data related to purchasing behaviour. Time of day, makeup of the basket, price sensitivity and elasticity,  competitive impacts, and much more. When combined with the loyalty card data giving demographic and individual behavioural data, this is a deep and rich marketing resource. Increasingly this data will be combined with so called ‘big data’ scraped’ from social platforms, and real time geo location data, we will be deluged with offers exquisitely tailored to us.

Consumer feedback feeds NPD & C.

Market research has always been a vital component of product development and commercialisation, irrespective if the development is an evolution of a pack design or a category creating innovation. The research was flimsy at best, and the investments needed to bring new products to market where the failure rate has always been closer to 99% than 90%, significant. That also has changed. We are now able to test new products in newly available digital channels and collect data almost in real time, using it to inform ongoing development.

Point of sale.

Point of sale has always been important. I am old enough to remember excitement around a sales meeting induced by a fancy new shelf wobbler! The opportunities at POS for things as diverse as MVS code driven interaction, interactive video, as well as the more usual promotional stunts are considerable.

Be a publisher.

The supermarket business  model is under considerable stress,  and the number of suppliers has become way smaller, and they seem to be starting to realise you cannot buy a brand, you have to earn it. In the old days, if you  had enough money, you could almost buy a brand, as there were just a few TV & radio stations, and a few newspapers and magazines, all owned by a few people. Nobody else had the means to communicate beyond one to one.

Then along came the big bad internet and blew it all away. Now anyone can publish, and if they are good enough, reach and interact with their consumers.

Focus on your strategy, not theirs.

If your strategy centres on building a brand, do not waste your time and resources working with a retailer that does not have proprietary branding as part of their strategy. A former client took on a contract to pack for Aldi. The margin was very slim, but the volumes significant , so the contract appeared to be a good way of covering overheads to enable brand building activity elsewhere. As it evolved, the management and operational demands of meeting the Aldi orders overwhelmed the operational capacity of my client, consuming all their resources, and preventing any of the proprietary development it was supposed to enable. This comment applies equally to the two gorillas as it does to Aldi. Allowing your strategic implementation to be driven by the volume power of a single or even small number of customers will have a sticky end.

The supermarkets have huge amounts of capital invested in their existing business model, physical assets, efficient supply chains, and high volumes delivering dollar margins. It has made them  really successful, so the tendency is naturally to do more of the same, just try and do it a bit better. Even Coles in its worst days before the Westfarmers purchase was doing OK by world retailing standards, and Woollies was killing it.

 

The world had changed, the retailer model has not changed as much.

Now supermarkets are open 7 days, often 24 hours, and with a bit of organisation  shopping is slowly evolving back into a partially social event, replacing the mass convenience. Just look at the number of farmers markets now open! Mass market is no longer the panacea of the masses, they want more. Value is  no longer measured purely by price and availability, the brand is about to make a comeback.

Never has the opportunity been greater for agile and committed medium sized businesses to engage with the group of potential customers who care about what they do, and build a brand that delivers longevity.

Is the supermarket model being disrupted, and nobody is noticing?

Is the supermarket model being disrupted, and nobody is noticing?

May 11, 2016 | Branding, Governance, Leadership, retail, Small business

Business models are being disrupted all over the place.

The new centre of business models has become the customer, and the way they perceive and receive value. It was supposed to be this way in the pre-digital days, but really  was not, because the sellers held all the cards. Now however, the power has really reverted to where it should be, to those who drive the value chain by their purchase choices.

AirBnB has become the biggest single retailer of short term lodging on the planet, and they do not own a room, Uber is the biggest taxi service on the planet, and does not own a car, newspapers have been replaced as sources of news. There are many examples, and all are of business models that have arrived in the last few years with a common theme.

They have replaced the linear, sequential business models of the past, where there was always a choke point dependent on physical infrastructure that exerted control, with a model where the physical  infrastructure is simply a logistical resource to be deployed to deliver a service, the real product is information.

Information on availability, product provenance, performance, and many other factors of value to customers, including, you guessed it, price.

It is a two sided model, enabled by technology that is making the logistical control of the infrastructure redundant in the face of consumers having information at their fingertips. The competitive advantage has moved from the physical infrastructure to between the ears of employees and consumers equally.

Employees create and deliver the information that enables consumers to make decisions, which then dictate the physical logistics driven by those decisions.

Meanwhile,  the supermarket  retailer model has not changed  much.

They have huge amounts of capital invested in real estate and physical assets, it has made them  really successful, so the tendency is naturally to do more of the same, just try and do it a bit better.

They have chased, very successfully, productivity of  the assets, a financial measure of success not a sustainable measure of success with customers. As a result they are losing their customers to discounters, specialist retailers, and various direct models that offer an alternative value proposition.

It seems to me that Woolies have walked away from, or simply not understood this evolution of their business model.

Their Everyday rewards loyalty card was gathering momentum, building a picture of their customer base and their individual behaviour, critical information that would over time deliver a capacity to engage on a highly individualised basis. However, it was clearly costing a bit, so they took the short term route, and reduced the cost to them, and therefore value to their customers, gave it a new name and sat back thinking consumers would not notice.

They did, and nobody came.

Woolworths took a short term financial decision that has apparently bitten them in the bum. A bit like the ones they took that killed off Thomas Dux, and led them to misunderstand the market when they bet the back paddock on Masters. Pretty clearly someone in the top floor of the majestic head office out in the hills, can read a spreadsheet, but probably does not know what goes on inside customers heads when they are contemplating a purchase, and making a choice about the manner in which that purchase will be made.

Perhaps new CEO Brad Banducci will claw back some of the customer centric culture that gave Woolworths the wood on Coles for so long, but he better move quickly, as the momentum has shifted against them, and it will be hard to regain.

 

Where will the retail gorillas make profits tomorrow?

Where will the retail gorillas make profits tomorrow?

Apr 20, 2016 | Customers, Marketing, Operations, retail, Strategy

Coles and Woolies are locked in a battle for share of the customers wallets and throats that becomes more complicated every day.

The competitive landscape has changed. The old model of them against each other and independent wholesaler supplied groups, has been spiced up by Aldi, Cosco, and the tide of competitive business models evolving both in store formats such as the convenience small stores around commuter points, farmers markets, and digitally enabled sales.

Those sales I call ‘Beyond Checkout’ cover everything from online ordering with home delivery to the evolution of old fashioned drive thorough pickup.

In my view the battle is a losing one for the gorillas without significant change to their operational culture. Their current business models are based on mass merchandising, not easily made compatible with the personalised service delivery and the  lower volume specialised products now being sought. You need go no further than the disappearance of Thomas Dux for evidence.

Having said that, I see 5 general areas for operational innovation of both the gorillas that would deliver ongoing profits, and sensitise them to the changes happening beyond the walls of their stores.

  1. In store technology deployment.

Deploying some level of the data driven category management control to store level would greatly enhance assortment optimisation, out of stock reduction, and margin maximisation. The assumption of course is that there is staff in the stores with the nous to leverage the information  they are being given.

There is also the juicy thought that stores will be able to connect to consumers in close proximity to stores via their mobile devices geo location capability and make them offers based on their purchase patterns. Then there is the option of instore kiosks harnessing the value of instore video and personalised advertising and promotion, again catalysed by your mobile device.

  1. Leveraging existing asset

Reduction of maintenance and running costs with innovations like rooftop solar power, preventative maintenance programs, improved store security, and stores as the logistic base for home delivery. Home delivery will become more and more important to time constrained consumers, so developing a compelling offer should be high on their agendas. To date the penetration has been poor because the logistics, particularly for fresh and frozen product is really challenging.

  1. Employee productivity improvements.

With better staff training, particularly in produce, customer sensitive opening and closing times, cash register  speeds (the Aldi insistence on prominent bar codes by observation speeds up throughput significantly), much can be achieved. Self-serve checkouts currently rolling out with store renovation programs have clearly been a success with consumers, and offer significant productivity improvements.

  1. Value chain optimisation

The use of collaborative technology  that goes back into supplier production planning and collaborative volume management from the production line to the checkout has been around for years. However, there remains huge opportunities to extract benefits from inventory management for all in the value chain. The barrier is cultural, as the gorillas want all the benefit to come their way, removing the incentive for suppliers to take risks and innovate, except when under the whip.  Collaboration through the value chain can deliver great benefits when done well.

  1. The customer experience,

What is retail about, if not customer experience?

It is here that retailers can differentiate themselves in all sorts of ways.  What they cannot do is demand from head office that customers like them, and prefer their stores over the others. Store choice is a personal thing for consumers, made up of many elements, but creating a store environment where the employees are pleased and proud to be of service is a great start.

Long way to go there.

What the senior management can do is provide the infrastructure that enables that level of personalisation and service to be delivered in stores, and the leadership to create and encourage the customer centric culture that front line employees then deliver.

And a final thought: Is that the light at the end, or a headlight?

E-tailing is a huge threat to the gorillas, and while it involves capital to develop and deploy the technology, it is essentially an individual engagement and transaction. Online gets all the publicity, but still only accounts for around 6% (depending on whose numbers, and which categories you look at) of sales. The gorillas should see E-tailing as their next opportunity area, to be embraced rather than feared.

Remember what happened to the Blockbuster video business? They had the game by the throat, Netflix was just an irritation in the corner, so they ignored them.

Bamm! Blockbuster is gone.

While it is still pretty hard to stream a family roast dinner, the lesson of Blockbuster should not go unheeded by Coles and Woolies.

 

Are Woolworths new “Essentials” really essential?

Are Woolworths new “Essentials” really essential?

Apr 12, 2016 | retail, Sales

Woolworths have announced a change of their ‘Homebrand’ range of housebrands to ‘Woolworths Essentials’ a more ‘upmarket’ housebrand.

If that is all that is happening, will this just be putting lipstick on a pig?

The strategic and competitive challenges facing Woolies run way deeper than the packaging on a housebrand offering.

However, if it is a signal that the changes are cultural, and the changes are to impact the way the organisation operates, it may be the start of a competitive revival. To be fair however, Woolworths’ financial performance over the decade up to only two years ago was outstanding and shareholders had been a very happy bunch on the supermarket side of things. However, the suppliers have recently decided they have had enough, and customers are becoming more open to alternatives.

Suppliers and customers are surely pretty important groups to a retailer.

Housebrands started as strategic move in Australia by Franklins in packaged goods almost 40 years ago, as outlined in this ABC podcast. They had been around in variety and general merchandise for some time before that, Marks and Spencer in the UK pioneering the idea way back in the 1920’s.

Franklins raison d’etre was customer value. They achieved this by a combination of low prices, aggressive promotions, and the widest possible range of products. The addition of a low priced housebrand range in heavily shopped commodity categories made absolute sense, so they started with ‘No Frills’ margarine in the late 70’s.

At first, many Australian consumers hid the No Frills products in the bottom of their trolleys, hoping none of their friends saw, as it was perhaps a social indicator that could see them accused of being cheapskates or down to their last bob.

The brands you buy were, and still are, an important part of your own self-image.

Pretty quickly however, shoppers discovered that some housebrand Sku’s s offered great value, so they locked in on them, and the presence of a housebrand in a trolley came to indicate a canny, value-conscious shopper. Conversely they also rapidly discovered the Sku’s that offered only price as an incentive to buy a rubbish product, and discarded them. Consumers are very quick learners, and make choices in discriminating ways.

Experimenting with housebrands

Since those early days, retailers have experimented widely with housebrands, coming up with sometimes elaborate words to support the introduction of fancy labels on the same stuff, or to simply copy the new products of a proprietary supplier before the category is established in consumers minds.

Fluff when substance is needed.

The strategy has changed radically from the Franklins’ original model of using housebrands to deliver value to customers, to one of capturing proprietary margins without the expensive, and long term work of brand building that requires an understanding of consumers lives outside a supermarket. Instead their control of what goes on their shelves has been used to squeeze the margins of the remaining proprietary suppliers while filling the now vacant space with their own “Faux-brands”.

Niche housebrand

Both Woolworths and Coles have leveraged their mass merchandising and supply chain expertise into liquor retailing.

Go into Dan Murphy’s and look at their range, particularly of beers, fancy niche names, many of them are just sold in Dan’s, with no marketing credibility beyond the shelf space and quirky name.

They are a Housebrand.

Both also have ‘cleanskin’ wines also housebrands, but unashamedly so.

 Market niches

Private Label quality has improved over time, some of them are pretty good, as good as proprietary brands, although usually a bit different in composition, packaging, or in some way at least moderately meaningful to consumers.

The problem is that the retailers are in the business of flogging stuff. Product to consumers and shelf space to suppliers. It is a high volume, multiple  transaction, low margin business. By contrast, suppliers are in the business of building brands for the long term based on consumer preferences, behaviour and emerging lifestyle trends. They are the ones seeing market niches emerge, and building new products to suit, but why take the risk when you know that the retailers will copy you in a short space of time, squeeze your shelf space, and screw you on margin and terms.

Where will the genuine, category creating innovation come from? Not from the retailers if the past is any guide.

Not all the blame for the innovation stagnation that is evolving goes to the retailers. Proprietary marketers are also in the gun. It is suppliers, albeit under considerable retailer pressure, who have allowed the categories to become commodities by transferring the innovation and marketing funding to price promotion, thereby destroying the value of their brands over time.

Years ago as a young product manager, I worked for what has become Meadow Lea Foods. Meadow Lea margarine had been built into one of the strongest brands in supermarkets, with a dominating market share well over 20%, in a crowded field. I have not seen ‘Mum’ being congratulated for probably 20 years, presumably the available marketing and advertising funds were swung from what had worked to build the category, into the retailers pockets.

What is Meadow Lea’s market share now? I bet it is in single figures with the rest of the commoditised products in the category, although I have not seen any figures for a long time. Building a brand is a journey that is never complete, and if you stop giving consumers a reason to buy yours, they will follow your advice and stop.

8 reasons the opportunity for consumer goods SME’s has never been greater.

8 reasons the opportunity for consumer goods SME’s has never been greater.

Mar 14, 2016 | Change, Management, retail, Strategy

Think about it.

  • Many domestic competitors are gone, sent to the wall by combinations of the high $A, the power of the retail duopoly to call the tune with prices and terms, house brand expansion, and poor management.
  • Coles and Woolies have lost some of their grip as Aldi makes inroads, and some of the independents like Ritchies continue to compete effectively in local markets, and access to food service, ingredient and alternative retail becomes easier.
  • Consumer brand loyalty has been disrupted by the disappearance of some of the favoured brands, offering opportunities to forge new brand loyalties
  • Marketing expenditure can now be highly directed, and its effectiveness measured and continuous improvement be applied.
  • The costs of the tools like the analytics required to do effective category management, a data intensive exercise are  getting cheaper and cheaper, and the skills needed to make sense of the data more available.
  • SME’s are recognising that collaborative actions are not verboten, but are in fact very sensible and cost effective. Making it easier, digital technology has removed one of the greatest barriers to effective collaboration, the inability to communicate.
  • SME management has also recognised that collaboration is strategically and operationally sensible to build comeptitive scale to enable long term prosperity, so there are potential partners around.
  • Export is easier, as trade barriers are dropping, and product niches are often global

None of this of course is of any value unless you have the cash flow, determination, and management capability to make the changes necessary. However, those that have survived the last 10 years are a robust bunch, now the pressure is off a bit, don’t make the mistake of taking a breather, get in there!