Foresight, hindsight, and common sense

On the surface, these appear to be the same coin, different sides, albeit three sides?.

Not so in business.

Foresight is often little more accurate than the musings of the gypsy at the local fair, whereas hindsight is capable of being 100% accurate.

Modelling has become the commercial equivalent of the crystal ball, offering the capacity to predict the future, but relies on the assumptions accurate in the past (seen with the benefit of hindsight)  being consistent into the future, usually better than rubbing the crystal, but often not much.

Software has given us the false sense of security that comes with reams of paper with numbers all over it, and we often forego the benefit of experience, wisdom, and plain common sense, lured by the sirens song of the “certainty” generated by the numbers .

Bring back the value of common sense, and suspicion of anything that smacks of certainty when predicting the future, and  we will all make better decisions.

 

Weddings as a metaphor.

Planning for your business takes up a lot of time and resource, which is often hard to allocate, particularly in small businesses.

It is a bit like the planning that goes into your daughters wedding, many things seem trivial at the time, but when it goes right on the day, aren’t you glad you did it?

Think about the cost (to your sanity and peace of mind) of stuffing up the flowers, or the cars on the day, and consider the relative value of a bit more planning.

Many small businesses do not spend the time planning, they are so busy getting stuff done that the time is not easily available. Often when they think about it, much of the activity that takes all the time is fixing things that have gone wrong, or take more time than necessary, that could have been mitigated by a bit of planning.

You plan your daughters wedding to the last detail, shouldn’t  you do the same for your business?.

So, what do sales people do now?

The sales job has changed substantially with the emergence of the web.

In the past, many sales people were mobile, human brochures, the keepers of the information. No longer.

Most of the mundane information on specifications, performance, competitive advantages, and so on is freely available on the web, often out of your control, in customer and consumer  forums for important products or large purchases.

Sales professionals now have to assist the customer to a solution to their problems and competitive challenges, which is much, much harder than being a human brochure.

Are your sales people up to the task?

Are you giving them the appropriate support and information

Are they spending their time in a manner that will give you a return on your considerable investment in their time and training?

Role of the web in revenge.

A short time ago I purchased a new pair of black  “Julius Marlow” shoes  from a major retailer.  Within a month, the body of the right shoe had separated from the sole, hardly a reasonable result from  a purchase worn around the benign environment of a carpeted office.

I contacted JM, owned by Pacific Dunlop as I discovered, via the web site, after some searching, but OK so far.

Eventually, I got an automated response  to my note of complaint, which required me to engage in more automated “discussion” with the web site, by which time I was pretty annoyed.

After several more automated responses with me becoming more specific about where I would like to stick the machines micro-processors, a very pleasant young lady rang me. Potentially a step forward, but a bit late, and to get anywhere  I had to invest the time to take the shoes back to the store I got them from (I’m sure the staff will be pleased to see me) along with the proof of purchase. Not an option, so as an alternative I could bundle them up and send them, at my cost, to Melbourne, where they would “look at them” .

So, JM failed to deliver what I had paid for,  and reasonably expected, having worn many of their shoes over my life. After they failed, they expected me to spend more of my  time, and money, to further satisfy them of their failure, with no notion of any outcome to me. The final indignity, after the final email from me, was an automated response that quoted the “incident” number, followed by the words “Incident resolved”

Through this saga, I was reminded of the work by economist Ernst Fehr, and an experiment  well known as the “trust game” which seemingly identifies a biological link between  peoples behavior in getting revenge against those who have dudded them, even when the revenge behavior appears on the surface to be well over the top.

The point to all this is if you set out to communicate with customers when they are a bit off put, and fail to meet their expectations in that communication, and the ensuing resolution,  a bit off-put can turn into behavior that seeks to extract revenge for the dudding, and in the world of the web, that revenge has the potential to stuff your brand very quickly indeed. Imagine, I made  short video of obviously brand new JM shoes with the sole half off and putting it on you tube with some  creative fun being had, sending it to a few friends, and having it go viral. How much damage could that do to the brand (but probably unfortunatley not to the dills responsible) who stuffed up a simple communication with a long term and relatively loyal customer?

 

Good news and bad for sales professionals.

     Selling is a tough job, and getting tougher, as the number of ways a potential customer can purchase expand with the web, and consumer confidence is fragile, despite the stunning Australian figures a couple of days ago.

    No longer can sales people fulfill their budgets by being accurate and sympathetic purveyors of information, and doing a lot of calls, they now need to be able to add value in ways that competitors and no other channels can duplicate at the price.

    How do you do this?

  1. Have only skilled sales people, ones who without thinking, empathize with customers and their problems. Make sure they know your products intimately, and the business of the customers as intimately so they can identify unique ways your products can add value to the customer.
  2. Have in place the sales support mechanisms so that every opportunity identified is optimized. Sales people make sales talking to customers, not chasing late orders through your systems.
  3. Have a “sales culture” where the whole  organisation recognises that customers are the reason they are in business, and it is everyone’s job to sell, not just those with a bag.
  4.  

    The bad news for sales professionals is that there will be less of you as time goes on, the good news for those left is that they will be paid a lot more than they are now as their value is recognized. 

Word of mouse.

It used to be word of mouth, it still is in its essence, but the need for face to face contact has been removed by the emergence of the web tools now in front of everyone.

Ideas spread on the web like a virus, even quicker than “pig-flu,” a good idea spreads logarithmically, gathering momentum as it goes, or conversely, just disappearing without trace if it does not attract an audience prepared to be an advocate by passing it on. 

This simple notion of brand advocates, rather than simply demographic and psychographic profiles of people to whom, your advertising is directed radically changes the dynamics of brand building, from a mass advertising effort, to an effort turned 180 degrees towards engaging customers in the value the brand delivers to them on a very personal level.