SME’s need to adapt or die

Being a supplier to FMCG retailers is really, really hard. The two gorillas are demanding, unreasonable, and often just plain stupid, at least that is a suppliers assessment. If you asked the retailers, they would just be doing their jobs, maximising the revenue and margin returns from their shelf-space, minimising their costs, and competing aggressively for access to the consumers wallets.

It is just a matter of perspective, but whilst the customer is not always right, they remain the customer, and if you want to serve them, it is you, the supplier who must adapt or die.

The current pressures on SME food industry manufacturers, a high $A, the retailers push into housebrands, difficulties in funding working capital, skills shortages particularly in regional areas where many of them are situated, and promotional costs, are pushing many to the wall. The long term impact of these changes appear to be all bad for the economy, as food security, balance of payments, regional jobs and skills,  and having a manufacturing base from which to innovate, are all compromised. However, there is  not much joy in complaining, clearly the various governments do not care, or are more engaged in important debates like gay marriage, and spending our money on sectional interests who seem to have a few votes, so we have to address the problems ourselves.

Manufacturing, let alone food industry manufacturing no longer even warrants a seat around the cabinet table, clearly we are on our own, so we adapt or die, and many will die, the few who successfully adapt will be very good indeed.

 

 

What next for the Woolies/Coles stoush.

Woolworths and Coles price and promotion strategies are often  shaped by what happens in the UK, as there is a history of successful imitation in Australia. The resurgence of Coles has taken the initiative from Woolworths, and the short term outcome has been price reductions to consumers, the flip side of course, and there is always a flip side,  is a further hollowing of the production sector in Australia.

I am pretty sure that if you asked consumers which they would prefer, a price reduction today, or production security into the future, they would take the former, without understanding the probable consequences.

The Federal Court  found last week in favor of Metcash in their effort to sell Franklins, saying in part that the competitive power of Woolworths and Coles served to keep prices to consumers down, solidifying the power of the status quo.

  

Meeting conduct.

The conduct of meetings, whether they be the AGM of a major company, or the committee of the local raffle group should run by the same basic set of rules, worked out over a long period to ensure that a meeting comes to a conclusion at the end of a comprehensive “due process”.

Whilst the AGM of a public company should be far more formal than the local tennis group, nevertheless, some rules should never be broken, significantly the one that states: “No-one can speak  twice on a topic until all who wish to speak on the topic have done so”.

This simple rule ensures that the local opinionated motor-mouth who seems to pop up on most small committees is controlled. 

It is up to the chairman to keep the discipline, but many a local meeting I have attended  has failed because the basics of conducting a meeting are not enforced.

SME’s and Quantitative easing.

It seems to me that the geniuses making economy wide financial decisions around the world, but particularly in the US and Europe are making the same mistake many of my SME clients make. They are failing to distinguish between the short term, tactical decision making that can reshape a P&L in any given month, whilst ignoring the long term strategic decisions that shape the balance sheet. 

What is the difference between giving Woolworths a big discount to enable a deep price cut on your product, then promptly turning around and borrowing to produce more, and the so called “Quantitative Easing”  being practiced by the EU & US?  Giving Woolies the discount may make the P&L look better for the month, but when the discount is borrowed, all you are doing is loading the balance sheet up with more debt that needs to be repaid at some point, or you go bankrupt.  

You do not have to be a brain surgeon to understand that when the credit card is full, and the debt is bigger than the income, some radical spending surgery is required, partnered with an increase in the value extracted from every dollar that is still spent. Most  consumers understand this, and manage it, those who do not, have their credit card taken away.

Why is it so hard?

A fine line between flattery and robbery

If imitation is the best form of flattery, domestic FMCG suppliers, the few left, should be very flattered indeed.

Any lingering doubts about the pressure being applied to them by the two retail gorillas should be blown away by this video from ad agency Mumbrella, which demonstrates the fine line between flattery and IP stealing.

This has happened in front of our eyes to one of our core manufacturing industries, and when the piper calls to be paid, it will prove to be very expensive indeed. There is so little packaged food manufacturing now being done in Australia that the industry is in real strife, I suspect scale is rapidly falling past the point of viability, and those left are under great pressure.

Perhaps the new ACCC chairman Rod Simms will follow up on his words that seem to indicate a different attitude to the retail duopoly than his predecessors.

 

FMCG duopoly under pressure?

It seems that new ACCC chief Rod Sims is getting serious about the reality of the power of the two major supermarket retailers.

At the same time, Andrew Reitzer  MD of Metcash is giving the ACCC a headache over his presumptive execution of the purchase of Franklins from Pick n’ Pay before the Federal court had ruled, simply on the basis that the business was bleeding cash, and the transaction had to be done, even at the risk of the consequences of  an adverse finding.

An interview by Alan Kohler of  Reitzer and the accompanying commentary give a great insight into the thinking behind the only real alternative to the power of Coles and Woolworths.

The overwhelming power of Coles and Woolworths has nevertheless not stopped the evolution of niche retailers like Harris Farm, competitive regional supermarkets like Drakes and Ritchies, and market entry of Aldi and Costco. The downward pressure on purchase price has however wrecked havoc on the Australian food manufacturing  sector, with very few left, and those that are in pretty shallow water, with the only really large domestically owned manufacturer left, Goodman Fielder performing poorly

I can only hope that in the new environment of more aggressive review of the retailers, that the plight of the domestic manufacturing sector  is adequately considered.