The most common cause of the failure of medium sized businesses.

The most common cause of the failure of medium sized businesses.

  Businesses fail for a lot of reasons, lack of cash, their product becomes redundant, competitors emerge at a cheaper price, distribution is not as anticipated, inadequate sales skills, and many others. However, all these failures have a common root. They were not important enough to the few who might have really cared enough to give them their business. They try to be all things to all people, and even the most successful company of the last 25 years, Apple, cannot pull that off. What on earth makes you think you can? The key to success is to do less. Relentlessly prune everything you do until there is nothing left but the stuff that is really, really important to the few, that you do better than anyone else. That combination stops those key target customers going anywhere else. Saying ‘No’ is the hardest thing any medium business has to do. However, it is also amongst the most important things. Stand for something genuinely meaningful to the few, and deliver relentlessly to them. Forget the rest. Header credit. My thanks once again to Hugh McLeod at Gapingvoid.com  
The single reason most strategy planning fails

The single reason most strategy planning fails

We confuse strategic thinking with the execution of an agreed strategy.

They are two entirely different processes, and should not be just lumped together for convenience, which is what most of us do by default.

Thinking the strategy does nothing to execute the strategy.

Effective strategic thinking is an ongoing process, it should always be on the agenda. It is evolutionary, requiring deep consideration, diverse thinking and inputs, creativity, and the ability to see connections and trends missed or ignored by others.

Strategy execution driven by  the deep strategic thinking results in priorities, processes and resource allocation decisions, and timing that can all be managed.

The leadership is in the thinking.

It is not unreasonable while doing the strategy thinking to ask yourself ‘How’, but second guessing the thinking part during execution is a recipe for disaster.

There is however a partial exception. Isn’t there always?

Incorporating new strategic information and insight gained during the execution back into the strategic thinking is essential. Feedback loops provide the opportunity to learn, understand, and adjust, and as such are an essential element of success.

Be very careful you understand which is the cart, which is the horse, and what their differing roles are!

Are you running a zombie business

Are you running a zombie business

 

Zombies are the fictional ‘living dead’. A zombie business model is one that might still be alive, but may as well be dead, unless there is radical surgery undertaken.

Blockbuster was a zombie model, happily making money while Netflix emerged from its cacoon, to kill it in a few short years.

Blockbuster’s then CEO John Antico recognised the problem and instituted a solution that would probably have saved them,  but fell victim to the entrenched view of the Blockbuster model held by his board. His replacement blew some temporary life into the zombie, but missed the opportunity to rebuild, and shortly after, Blockbuster died a rapid and ugly death.

Many bricks and mortar retailers find themselves in a similar position. They know what they sell,  but have no idea to whom they sell it, and whether or not the price at which they sold maximised their margins. Meanwhile, Amazon knows what they sell, to who, at what price, when, and the details of their location, and a host of demographic and behavioural data gleaned from their big data sets. Who is the zombie in that mix?

I note that this morning Lowes announced the closure of 51 North American stores. Can somebody please ask the former Woolies MD what it was like being in bed with a Zombie!

 

 

How to swim in the profit pool

How to swim in the profit pool

 

Every industry is an amalgam of value chains, demographic, behavioural, and geographic segments of customers and suppliers.

Inevitably, some of these segments are more profitable than others for a range of reasons. Therefore it makes sense to understand where the profits in your target value chain are being made currently, and where those profits may move to in the future.

There are two challenges here, the harder is seeing the future, but the second, identifying where the profits are now, should be easier.

Apply the Pareto principal to all the segments in the whole value chain, and you will inevitably see that at each point, Pareto rules.

It therefore follows that your best strategy is to identify the areas where your value proposition can add value to the 20% that deliver 80% of the profit.

The king of this strategy is Apple, who control about 15% of the volume of mobile phones sold, but accrues 85% of the profit available in the market.

Who are the 5% of customers who truly value something only you can offer?

Find them and you will be swimming in the profit pool, with little opposition.

 

What is your businesses key metric?

What is your businesses key metric?

Every business has a key strategic metric, one that encapsulates the productivity of the investments made in the business, that can be tracked over time, and broken down progressively as you move into the operational levels of your business.

The metric you choose should reflect the strategic choices you make. It should never be about profit, which is just an outcome, the metric you choose should be the single thing that drives the commercial sustainability of your business. It also acts as a ‘touchstone’ for everyone in the business, from the Directors to the cleaner. Everyone knows, understands, and can relate what they do in some way to  the metric, it removes any confusion about what is important.

I have two acquaintances working in senior roles in large law firms. One is judged on his ‘Billable hours,’ the other on the rolling annual value of the clients he handles. The first  works 70 hours/week, and ensures that every available 10 minute period in his diary is billed to somebody, for something. The other concentrates on the relationships he builds with his clients, setting out to become their legal ‘go- to’ man, providing advice on a range of issues in their businesses, often issues he sees before they do, given the ‘engagement’ he has.  Both manage staff that have similar KPI’s directly feeding into theirs.

Two distinctly different KPI’s in very similar businesses that result in very different outcomes for both the employees and the clients.

Bricks and Mortar retailers all use some variation of the sales or gross margin/square foot of retail space as a key KPI. It may be calculated in slightly different ways, but all use it, and cascade the measure down through their organisations, in both the store management and buying functions. On line retailers  by contrast generally measure the cost of acquisition of a new customer, and their ongoing lifetime value.

What is your key metric, and how does it reflect your strategic choices?

 

 

The 5 strategic dimensions of price

The 5 strategic dimensions of price

Setting prices is one of the most challenging, but often sidelined management decisions. Given that price has more impact on the bottom line than any other single factor, it is crazy that it is so often left until the last moment, or to a superficial assessment. The manner in which price is packaged and delivered should attract considerable time and creative effort.

In many cases the consideration goes little further than looking at costs, competing prices, and perhaps the gross margin.

Nowhere near enough.

Just setting an arbitrary price, struck at the last moment, without deep consideration seems irresponsible. Pricing strategy is the most important variables over which management has control, and that control should be exercised to reflect your strategic priorities, while delivering maximum value to your customers.

In order to find the best ‘fit’ between these two usually competing outcomes, there needs to be more than just passing consideration given.

There are two processes to undertake.

  1. Set a pricing architecture.
  2. Set a price list.

These are fundamentally different, but the first should always drive the second.

Striking a price architecture should be a strategic process. It is a trade-off between the wide range of factors that drive a customers purchase choice in various circumstances, and the costs and margins involved in addressing those choices.  However, once set, the architecture of your pricing should be reasonably stable.

The actual price lists built on top of the pricing architecture can be varied as often as you like, and as often the market in which you operate will allow, in response to  the factors that drive purchase.

In some markets, you will have little room to move, in others, there will be a wide range of options. The common factor is that a responsible management maximises the return over the long term, which necessarily involves having satisfied, repeat customers, with a minimum of churn.

In every case the price set will be the end result of a range of trade-offs that are made. The most obvious and clearly understood is the simple  price/units trade-off, but this comes at the end of a wide range of trade-offs made in the manner in which the architecture is constructed.

Business model.

Every business model has its own characteristics that have an impact on the way prices are set.

In a retail franchise model, the prices are often set by head office, and the individual franchised outlet has limited ability to vary them.  A supplier of grocery products through an Australian supermarket, has almost no control over price if they want to retain distribution. The seller of a bespoke solution to an expensive problem can set their own price, so long as it remains slightly below the cost of the problem, and guarantees the solution.

The emergence of the web as a sales channel has led to a rapidly expanding menu of pricing options.  The SAAS industry in increasingly using subscription models differentiated by the availability or otherwise of some sort of ‘tripwire’ or ‘freemium’ model followed by varying price levels based on features, available seats, transaction numbers, and a host of other variables from which customers can choose.

Market power.

In a monopoly, the monopolist can set his own prices at the point that maximised the profitability, without regard to the well-being of stakeholders beyond the shareholders. At the other end of the scale, when supplying a raw commodity, you have no pricing power at all, you will be purely a price taker.

Spending some time considering Michael Porters ‘5 forces’ will be time well spent.

Almost all situations fall somewhere in between a commodity and a monopoly, and in most situations there are substitutes, or the threat of substitutes emerging when the margins become sufficiently attractive.

Market power can be built by the process of branding, which requires long term investment  and again, trade-offs. Apple currently sells about 15% of mobile phone units sold around the world, but has 85% of the profit in the mobile phone market. This is an almost unique situation, matched by few ever before, the possible only others were Kodak, in their heyday, and Microsoft in the 90’s. Currently emerging we see the Digital trio, Facebook, Google and Amazon who have huge market power setting prices in ways that reflect the depth of that power.

Strategic priorities.

Price is a primary indicator of the positioning of your product in the minds of customers. The level of price is very often used as a signal of quality. Think about the array of wines in your local grog shop. To most, the majority are unfamiliar, and they lack the objective experience to make judgements, so price becomes a default indicator of quality.

Apple as noted has done a masterful job of reflecting the strategic priority of margin over volume.  By contrast, Aldi has become successful  in every market they expand into  by keeping overheads and transaction costs to an absolute minimum throughout their supply chains, and reflecting these savings in low shelf prices, which delivers volumes.

One producer of dried pasta in Australia holds a 70% market share with a combination of a dominating proprietary brand, many alternative and cheaper brands across every conceivable distribution channel, together with supplying pretty much all the house brand products in the market. There is a pricing matrix that covers the whole market, creating meaningful differentiation of price and brand. They do this by leveraging the economies of scale they have built in the operational processes throughout the production chain, from the control of the supply of grain through to the packaging of the end product, and ensuring that nobody else can compete on price. It has been a masterful job, implemented with consistency and determination over a 30 year span. The retail price you pay for dried pasta varies enormously, but the cost of the products are differentiated only by the characteristics of the semolina used, a marginal cost difference in the scheme of things. However, having watched blind tastings of pasta, the knowledgeable consumers can pick the premium brand from the others, in order of quality of the grain in some (hidden to me) taste and texture characteristics with unfailing accuracy.

Price packaging

Packaging of price is not something most would think about in a specific manner as they would the external product packaging. However, any price list with some sort of structure that reflects volume, channel, or some other sort of difference is in effect price packaging.

Creative thinking about the packaging of pricing can pay huge dividends. A feature that adds no value will not attract a customer, but the same feature that does add value to someone else becomes a benefit that can be priced for that customer.

A friend just bought a European sports car, lovely thing at an inflated price based on the marque, with a long list of ‘optional extras’. He chose the few ‘extras’ he wanted, all the while whingeing that a much cheaper Korean sports car, with similar performance (according to his research) that did not have the cachet of the brand he bought, had them all as standard. Both are examples of price packaging, in a manner that is driven by many of the other marketing and strategic characteristics of the choices available.

Behavioural drivers

We are increasingly aware that psychology has a huge impact on our behaviour, and as a result, those who understand the psychology can ‘manage’ the drivers of price to their benefit.  Anyone with responsibility for the construction of price should be aware of  the basics at least. The original (readable) book was ‘Influence’ by Robert Cialdini in 1993, followed up more recently by a new book ‘Pre-Suasion’ in late 2016, both of which add considerably to the well-known principals of ‘anchoring‘ and the ‘Rule of three.’

Anchoring is simply the first price that is mentioned usually becomes the basis of the following conversation, so the logic is anchor high.  The rule of three is where you ensure there are three alternatives with differing prices, and you present the highest first, which makes the others look cheaper, and uses the high price as the anchor. Any more options than three, and you risk confusion creeping in and the greater possibility of a no decision as a result. Add to these models is the obvious $24.99 price instead of $25.00 which works all the time, and the common ‘Huge savings on special’ offers where the saving is calculated against a price that nobody in their right mind would pay.

The more you dig into the behavioural drivers of price, the greater the range of options you can create. Scary when you think about it, as they are all being used on us every day.

 

The final word should go to Warren Buffett, someone who knows a bit about making a profit.

The single most important decision in evaluating a business is pricing power. If you have the power to raise prices without losing business to a competitor, you have a very good business. If you have to have a prayer session before raising the price by 10% then you have a terrible business’.